Scouting Report
Shawn Horcoff holds a +2.1% FO% edge overall. Look for Fraser on offensive-zone draws (67% H2H, 3 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Fraser 47.9% vs Horcoff 49.4% (-2.1%)
H2H factor
Not applied (5 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Horcoff 58.0%
Defensive zone
Horcoff 58.8%
Neutral zone
Horcoff 60.6%
Result
Shawn Horcoff favored at 58.7%
41.3%
58.7%
Fraser
Horcoff
Head-to-Head Record
3
-
2
(5 meetings)
3
2
Fraser
Horcoff
Last 5: Fraser 3-2 Horcoff
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Fraser
2
1
Fraser
Horcoff
3 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Horcoff
0
1
Fraser
Horcoff
1 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Fraser
1
0
Fraser
Horcoff
1 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Fraser
Horcoff
Edge
Even Strength
48.8% (332)
49.9% (976)
-1.1%
Power Play
30.0% (10)
49.4% (241)
-19.4%
Penalty Kill
38.5% (26)
46.8% (233)
-8.3%
On power play, Horcoff has a +19.4% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Horcoff shoots left. Fraser is 47.2% vs left-shot opponents (254).
Fraser shoots left. Horcoff is 48.6% vs left-shot opponents (1,057).
Home / Away
Fraser
Horcoff
Home
49.7% (189)
52.1% (755)
Away
44.8% (181)
46.5% (720)
By Period
Fraser
Horcoff
P1
44.6%
49.3%
P2
48.1%
47.9%
P3
49.1%
50.7%
Final 5 min
47.8%
46.8%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Fraser
44.0%▼
49.5%
47.3%
Horcoff
62.0%▲
55.5%
49.4%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Apr 2, 2012 | 3 | 16:06 | Neutral | Colin Fraser |
| Apr 2, 2012 | 3 | 11:00 | Offensive | Colin Fraser |
| Apr 2, 2012 | 2 | 02:09 | Offensive | Colin Fraser |
| Mar 30, 2012 | 2 | 10:29 | Offensive | Shawn Horcoff |
| Mar 30, 2012 | 2 | 03:13 | Defensive | Shawn Horcoff |