Scouting Report
Jay McClement holds a +4.2% FO% edge overall. Look for Horcoff on offensive-zone draws (67% H2H, 3 meetings). McClement wins 55.7% vs left-shot opponents — Horcoff shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
McClement 54.6% vs Horcoff 51.0% (+4.2%)
H2H factor
Not applied (7 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Horcoff 58.3%
Defensive zone
Horcoff 56.8%
Neutral zone
Horcoff 60.6%
Result
Shawn Horcoff favored at 58.5%
41.5%
58.5%
McClement
Horcoff
Head-to-Head Record
2
-
5
(7 meetings)
2
5
McClement
Horcoff
Last 7: McClement 2-5 Horcoff
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Horcoff
1
2
McClement
Horcoff
3 total
Defensive Zone
Even
1
1
McClement
Horcoff
2 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Horcoff
0
2
McClement
Horcoff
2 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
McClement
Horcoff
Edge
Even Strength
57.6% (540)
51.2% (537)
+6.4%
Power Play
57.1% (7)
66.7% (15)
-9.6%
Penalty Kill
45.8% (131)
47.3% (74)
-1.5%
On power play, Horcoff has a +9.6% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Horcoff shoots left. McClement is 55.7% vs left-shot opponents (445).
McClement shoots left. Horcoff is 51.4% vs left-shot opponents (405).
Home / Away
McClement
Horcoff
Home
56.0% (341)
52.5% (343)
Away
54.6% (337)
49.5% (283)
By Period
McClement
Horcoff
P1
52.7%
48.2%
P2
55.7%
52.2%
P3
58.3%
52.7%
OT
0.0%
50.0%
Final 5 min
58.8%
54.4%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
McClement
48.0%▲
46.5%
55.3%
Horcoff
62.0%▲
55.5%
51.1%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Dec 11, 2015 | 3 | 01:38 | Offensive | Shawn Horcoff |
| Dec 11, 2015 | 3 | 01:28 | Defensive | Jay McClement |
| Nov 16, 2015 | 3 | 19:12 | Neutral | Shawn Horcoff |
| Nov 16, 2015 | 3 | 19:00 | Neutral | Shawn Horcoff |
| Nov 16, 2015 | 1 | 15:42 | Offensive | Jay McClement |
| Nov 16, 2015 | 1 | 08:16 | Offensive | Shawn Horcoff |
| Nov 16, 2015 | 1 | 02:28 | Defensive | Shawn Horcoff |