Scouting Report
Joe Vitale holds a +6.3% FO% edge overall. Look for Horcoff on defensive-zone draws (100% H2H, 3 meetings). Vitale wins 57.1% vs left-shot opponents — Horcoff shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Vitale 55.0% vs Horcoff 49.4% (+6.3%)
H2H factor
Not applied (6 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Horcoff 52.0%
Defensive zone
Horcoff 53.8%
Neutral zone
Horcoff 55.7%
Result
Shawn Horcoff favored at 54.1%
45.9%
54.1%
Vitale
Horcoff
Head-to-Head Record
2
-
4
(6 meetings)
2
4
Vitale
Horcoff
Last 6: Vitale 2-4 Horcoff
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Vitale
1
0
Vitale
Horcoff
1 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Horcoff
0
3
Vitale
Horcoff
3 total
Neutral Zone
Even
1
1
Vitale
Horcoff
2 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Vitale
Horcoff
Edge
Even Strength
55.9% (646)
49.9% (976)
+6.0%
Power Play
100.0% (12)
49.4% (241)
+50.6%
Penalty Kill
47.5% (61)
46.8% (233)
+0.7%
On power play, Vitale has a +50.6% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Horcoff shoots left. Vitale is 57.1% vs left-shot opponents (496).
Vitale shoots right. Horcoff is 51.2% vs right-shot opponents (418).
Home / Away
Vitale
Horcoff
Home
56.9% (383)
52.1% (755)
Away
54.4% (340)
46.5% (720)
By Period
Vitale
Horcoff
P1
51.5%
49.3%
P2
58.2%
47.9%
P3
56.8%
50.7%
OT
80.0%
50.0%
Final 5 min
50.9%
46.8%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Vitale
44.0%▼
48.0%
55.7%
Horcoff
62.0%▲
55.5%
49.4%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 9, 2011 | OT | 00:34 | Neutral | Joe Vitale |
| Oct 9, 2011 | 3 | 01:26 | Defensive | Shawn Horcoff |
| Oct 9, 2011 | 2 | 18:30 | Neutral | Shawn Horcoff |
| Oct 9, 2011 | 2 | 04:54 | Defensive | Shawn Horcoff |
| Oct 9, 2011 | 1 | 19:29 | Offensive | Joe Vitale |
| Oct 9, 2011 | 1 | 01:08 | Defensive | Shawn Horcoff |