Scouting Report
These two are closely matched in overall FO% (49.7% vs 49.0%). Look for Horcoff on offensive-zone draws (100% H2H, 3 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Mitchell 49.8% vs Horcoff 49.2% (+0.7%)
H2H factor
Not applied (5 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Horcoff 50.9%
Defensive zone
Horcoff 56.9%
Neutral zone
Horcoff 52.7%
Result
Shawn Horcoff favored at 51.6%
48.4%
51.6%
Mitchell
Horcoff
Head-to-Head Record
1
-
4
(5 meetings)
1
4
Mitchell
Horcoff
Last 5: Mitchell 1-4 Horcoff
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Horcoff
0
3
Mitchell
Horcoff
3 total
Neutral Zone
Even
1
1
Mitchell
Horcoff
2 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Mitchell
Horcoff
Edge
Even Strength
45.9% (231)
46.9% (318)
-1.0%
Power Play
52.2% (67)
64.9% (94)
-12.7%
Penalty Kill
65.2% (46)
39.8% (88)
+25.4%
On penalty kill, Mitchell has a +25.4% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Horcoff shoots left. Mitchell is 49.2% vs left-shot opponents (248).
Mitchell shoots left. Horcoff is 48.6% vs left-shot opponents (350).
Home / Away
Mitchell
Horcoff
Home
59.0% (134)
46.7% (289)
Away
43.8% (210)
52.1% (211)
By Period
Mitchell
Horcoff
P1
48.0%
49.4%
P2
49.2%
47.0%
P3
50.9%
50.9%
OT
100.0%
42.9%
Final 5 min
44.9%
48.1%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Mitchell
66.0%▲
56.5%
49.7%
Horcoff
62.0%▲
55.5%
49.0%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jan 28, 2013 | 2 | 01:08 | Neutral | John Mitchell |
| Jan 28, 2013 | 1 | 16:16 | Offensive | Shawn Horcoff |
| Jan 28, 2013 | 1 | 10:05 | Neutral | Shawn Horcoff |
| Jan 28, 2013 | 1 | 01:49 | Offensive | Shawn Horcoff |
| Jan 28, 2013 | 1 | 01:31 | Offensive | Shawn Horcoff |