Scouting Report
These two are closely matched in overall FO% (50.9% vs 50.2%). Look for Mitchell on offensive-zone draws (80% H2H, 5 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Mitchell 50.8% vs Horcoff 50.2% (+0.7%)
H2H factor
Mitchell leads 8-4 in 12 meetings
Offensive zone
Mitchell 56.5%
Defensive zone
Mitchell 65.1%
Neutral zone
Mitchell 59.8%
Result
John Mitchell favored at 60.2%
60.2%
39.8%
Mitchell
Horcoff
Head-to-Head Record
8
-
4
(12 meetings)
8
4
Mitchell
Horcoff
Last 10: Mitchell 7-3 Horcoff
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Mitchell
4
1
Mitchell
Horcoff
5 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Mitchell
3
1
Mitchell
Horcoff
4 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Horcoff
1
2
Mitchell
Horcoff
3 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Mitchell
Horcoff
Edge
Even Strength
51.2% (666)
50.5% (374)
+0.7%
Power Play
45.5% (22)
55.0% (60)
-9.5%
Penalty Kill
48.9% (47)
39.5% (38)
+9.4%
On power play, Horcoff has a +9.5% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Horcoff shoots left. Mitchell is 51.2% vs left-shot opponents (488).
Mitchell shoots left. Horcoff is 48.6% vs left-shot opponents (315).
Home / Away
Mitchell
Horcoff
Home
51.7% (360)
50.2% (263)
Away
50.1% (375)
50.2% (209)
By Period
Mitchell
Horcoff
P1
50.2%
49.0%
P2
49.4%
53.2%
P3
51.9%
48.7%
OT
75.0%
0.0%
Final 5 min
49.5%
51.0%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Mitchell
66.0%▲
56.5%
50.9%
Horcoff
62.0%▲
55.5%
50.2%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Feb 27, 2015 | 3 | 16:16 | Defensive | John Mitchell |
| Feb 27, 2015 | 3 | 16:14 | Offensive | Shawn Horcoff |
| Feb 27, 2015 | 3 | 05:12 | Offensive | John Mitchell |
| Feb 27, 2015 | 2 | 10:42 | Defensive | John Mitchell |
| Feb 27, 2015 | 2 | 10:24 | Neutral | John Mitchell |
| Feb 27, 2015 | 1 | 14:48 | Neutral | Shawn Horcoff |
| Feb 14, 2015 | 3 | 08:18 | Defensive | Shawn Horcoff |
| Feb 14, 2015 | 1 | 05:52 | Offensive | John Mitchell |
| Feb 3, 2015 | 1 | 13:17 | Defensive | John Mitchell |
| Nov 29, 2014 | 1 | 13:00 | Offensive | John Mitchell |
| Nov 29, 2014 | 1 | 10:24 | Neutral | Shawn Horcoff |
| Nov 29, 2014 | 1 | 03:22 | Offensive | John Mitchell |