Scouting Report
Mark Letestu holds a +2.5% FO% edge overall. Look for Horcoff on defensive-zone draws (100% H2H, 3 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Letestu 51.7% vs Horcoff 49.4% (+2.5%)
H2H factor
Horcoff leads 7-3 in 10 meetings
Offensive zone
Horcoff 57.6%
Defensive zone
Horcoff 59.7%
Neutral zone
Horcoff 60.5%
Result
Shawn Horcoff favored at 59.1%
40.9%
59.1%
Letestu
Horcoff
Head-to-Head Record
3
-
7
(10 meetings)
3
7
Letestu
Horcoff
Last 10: Letestu 3-7 Horcoff
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Horcoff
1
3
Letestu
Horcoff
4 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Horcoff
0
3
Letestu
Horcoff
3 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Letestu
2
1
Letestu
Horcoff
3 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Letestu
Horcoff
Edge
Even Strength
52.8% (544)
49.9% (976)
+2.9%
Power Play
55.9% (111)
49.4% (241)
+6.5%
Penalty Kill
35.6% (59)
46.8% (233)
-11.2%
On penalty kill, Horcoff has a +11.2% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Horcoff shoots left. Letestu is 52.0% vs left-shot opponents (531).
Letestu shoots right. Horcoff is 51.2% vs right-shot opponents (418).
Home / Away
Letestu
Horcoff
Home
53.6% (317)
52.1% (755)
Away
50.6% (405)
46.5% (720)
By Period
Letestu
Horcoff
P1
51.3%
49.3%
P2
55.4%
47.9%
P3
49.2%
50.7%
OT
40.0%
50.0%
Final 5 min
51.8%
46.8%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Letestu
58.0%▲
54.5%
51.9%
Horcoff
62.0%▲
55.5%
49.4%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 14, 2012 | 3 | 15:09 | Offensive | Shawn Horcoff |
| Mar 14, 2012 | 2 | 19:49 | Offensive | Shawn Horcoff |
| Mar 14, 2012 | 2 | 15:41 | Offensive | Mark Letestu |
| Dec 2, 2011 | 3 | 05:27 | Offensive | Shawn Horcoff |
| Oct 9, 2011 | 3 | 18:18 | Defensive | Shawn Horcoff |
| Oct 9, 2011 | 3 | 16:58 | Defensive | Shawn Horcoff |
| Oct 9, 2011 | 3 | 13:51 | Neutral | Shawn Horcoff |
| Oct 9, 2011 | 3 | 00:00 | Neutral | Mark Letestu |
| Oct 9, 2011 | 2 | 06:16 | Defensive | Shawn Horcoff |
| Oct 9, 2011 | 2 | 00:00 | Neutral | Mark Letestu |