Scouting Report
Nate Thompson holds a +2.5% FO% edge overall. Thompson wins 55.9% vs left-shot opponents — Horcoff shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Thompson 52.5% vs Horcoff 50.2% (+2.5%)
H2H factor
Not applied (5 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Thompson 63.1%
Defensive zone
Thompson 84.1%
Neutral zone
Thompson 72.4%
Result
Nate Thompson favored at 75.2%
75.2%
24.8%
Thompson
Horcoff
Head-to-Head Record
4
-
1
(5 meetings)
4
1
Thompson
Horcoff
Last 5: Thompson 4-1 Horcoff
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Thompson
1
0
Thompson
Horcoff
1 total
Defensive Zone
Even
1
1
Thompson
Horcoff
2 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Thompson
2
0
Thompson
Horcoff
2 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Thompson
Horcoff
Edge
Even Strength
54.4% (870)
50.5% (374)
+3.9%
Power Play
45.8% (24)
55.0% (60)
-9.2%
Penalty Kill
45.1% (162)
39.5% (38)
+5.6%
On power play, Horcoff has a +9.2% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Horcoff shoots left. Thompson is 55.9% vs left-shot opponents (666).
Thompson shoots left. Horcoff is 48.6% vs left-shot opponents (315).
Home / Away
Thompson
Horcoff
Home
55.3% (510)
50.2% (263)
Away
50.4% (546)
50.2% (209)
By Period
Thompson
Horcoff
P1
53.5%
49.0%
P2
52.2%
53.2%
P3
52.7%
48.7%
OT
50.0%
0.0%
Final 5 min
51.5%
51.0%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Thompson
64.0%▲
59.0%
52.7%
Horcoff
62.0%▲
55.5%
50.2%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 1, 2015 | 3 | 00:56 | Neutral | Nate Thompson |
| Mar 1, 2015 | 1 | 15:05 | Offensive | Nate Thompson |
| Mar 1, 2015 | 1 | 12:11 | Defensive | Shawn Horcoff |
| Mar 1, 2015 | 1 | 05:16 | Neutral | Nate Thompson |
| Oct 31, 2014 | 1 | 09:08 | Defensive | Nate Thompson |