Scouting Report
These two are closely matched in overall FO% (49.2% vs 49.4%). Look for Horcoff on offensive-zone draws (100% H2H, 3 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Pelley 49.4% vs Horcoff 49.4% (-0.2%)
H2H factor
Not applied (6 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Pelley 58.9%
Defensive zone
Pelley 50.3%
Neutral zone
Pelley 57.3%
Result
Rod Pelley favored at 56.9%
56.9%
43.1%
Pelley
Horcoff
Head-to-Head Record
2
-
4
(6 meetings)
2
4
Pelley
Horcoff
Last 6: Pelley 2-4 Horcoff
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Horcoff
0
3
Pelley
Horcoff
3 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Horcoff
0
1
Pelley
Horcoff
1 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Pelley
2
0
Pelley
Horcoff
2 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Pelley
Horcoff
Edge
Even Strength
49.6% (232)
49.9% (976)
-0.3%
Power Play
0.0% (4)
49.4% (241)
-49.4%
Penalty Kill
53.3% (15)
46.8% (233)
+6.5%
On power play, Horcoff has a +49.4% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Horcoff shoots left. Pelley is 48.2% vs left-shot opponents (168).
Pelley shoots left. Horcoff is 48.6% vs left-shot opponents (1,057).
Home / Away
Pelley
Horcoff
Home
50.0% (94)
52.1% (755)
Away
48.8% (160)
46.5% (720)
By Period
Pelley
Horcoff
P1
46.0%
49.3%
P2
49.0%
47.9%
P3
55.6%
50.7%
Final 5 min
50.0%
46.8%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Pelley
50.0%▬
49.0%
49.2%
Horcoff
62.0%▲
55.5%
49.4%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Apr 5, 2012 | 3 | 14:00 | Neutral | Rod Pelley |
| Apr 5, 2012 | 3 | 13:48 | Neutral | Rod Pelley |
| Apr 5, 2012 | 1 | 08:55 | Offensive | Shawn Horcoff |
| Apr 5, 2012 | 1 | 05:00 | Offensive | Shawn Horcoff |
| Apr 5, 2012 | 1 | 01:34 | Offensive | Shawn Horcoff |
| Mar 5, 2012 | 2 | 13:31 | Defensive | Shawn Horcoff |