Scouting Report
Tomas Hertl holds a +4.9% FO% edge overall.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Horcoff 51.0% vs Hertl 54.9% (-4.9%)
H2H factor
Not applied (5 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Horcoff 61.9%
Defensive zone
Horcoff 64.5%
Neutral zone
Horcoff 59.9%
Result
Shawn Horcoff favored at 62.6%
62.6%
37.4%
Horcoff
Hertl
Head-to-Head Record
1
-
4
(5 meetings)
1
4
Horcoff
Hertl
Last 5: Horcoff 1-4 Hertl
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Hertl
0
2
Horcoff
Hertl
2 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Hertl
0
2
Horcoff
Hertl
2 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Horcoff
1
0
Horcoff
Hertl
1 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Horcoff
Hertl
Edge
Even Strength
51.2% (537)
55.0% (382)
-3.8%
Power Play
66.7% (15)
59.7% (67)
+7.0%
Penalty Kill
47.3% (74)
75.0% (8)
-27.7%
On penalty kill, Hertl has a +27.7% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Hertl shoots left. Horcoff is 51.4% vs left-shot opponents (405).
Horcoff shoots left. Hertl is 55.7% vs left-shot opponents (289).
Home / Away
Horcoff
Hertl
Home
52.5% (343)
58.8% (221)
Away
49.5% (283)
53.4% (236)
By Period
Horcoff
Hertl
P1
48.2%
52.6%
P2
52.2%
53.6%
P3
52.7%
62.4%
OT
50.0%
0.0%
Final 5 min
54.4%
61.7%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Horcoff
62.0%▲
55.5%
51.1%
Hertl
56.0%▼
60.0%
56.0%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Dec 4, 2015 | 3 | 19:43 | Offensive | Tomas Hertl |
| Nov 7, 2015 | 2 | 16:55 | Defensive | Tomas Hertl |
| Nov 7, 2015 | 2 | 07:28 | Offensive | Tomas Hertl |
| Nov 7, 2015 | 1 | 13:51 | Defensive | Tomas Hertl |
| Oct 10, 2015 | 2 | 14:21 | Neutral | Shawn Horcoff |