Scouting Report
Shawn Matthias holds a +2.8% FO% edge overall. Look for Matthias on defensive-zone draws (67% H2H, 3 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Staal 48.1% vs Matthias 50.6% (-2.8%)
H2H factor
Not applied (7 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Staal 56.7%
Defensive zone
Staal 53.0%
Neutral zone
Staal 56.9%
Result
Eric Staal favored at 55.2%
55.2%
44.8%
Staal
Matthias
Head-to-Head Record
2
-
5
(7 meetings)
2
5
Staal
Matthias
Last 7: Staal 2-5 Matthias
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Matthias
0
1
Staal
Matthias
1 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Matthias
1
2
Staal
Matthias
3 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Matthias
1
2
Staal
Matthias
3 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Staal
Matthias
Edge
Even Strength
47.4% (1,219)
51.0% (341)
-3.6%
Power Play
50.8% (356)
52.2% (23)
-1.4%
Penalty Kill
47.5% (141)
50.0% (4)
-2.5%
On even strength, Matthias has a +3.6% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Matthias shoots left. Staal is 47.8% vs left-shot opponents (1,087).
Staal shoots left. Matthias is 48.1% vs left-shot opponents (237).
Home / Away
Staal
Matthias
Home
49.8% (880)
50.6% (164)
Away
46.2% (871)
51.0% (206)
By Period
Staal
Matthias
P1
46.4%
51.1%
P2
46.1%
54.5%
P3
50.7%
45.5%
OT
53.5%
62.5%
Final 5 min
45.1%
52.7%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Staal
44.0%▼
47.0%
48.0%
Matthias
40.0%▼
41.5%
50.8%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jan 7, 2011 | 3 | 11:34 | Defensive | Eric Staal |
| Jan 7, 2011 | 1 | 14:48 | Neutral | Shawn Matthias |
| Jan 3, 2011 | 2 | 14:24 | Defensive | Shawn Matthias |
| Nov 6, 2010 | 3 | 15:16 | Offensive | Shawn Matthias |
| Nov 6, 2010 | 2 | 13:57 | Neutral | Shawn Matthias |
| Nov 6, 2010 | 1 | 16:47 | Neutral | Eric Staal |
| Nov 6, 2010 | 1 | 10:11 | Defensive | Shawn Matthias |