Scouting Report
Shawn Matthias holds a +7.3% FO% edge overall. Look for Skinner on offensive-zone draws (67% H2H, 3 meetings). Skinner wins 44.2% vs left-shot opponents — Matthias shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Skinner 45.2% vs Matthias 49.5% (-7.3%)
H2H factor
Not applied (6 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Skinner 67.8%
Defensive zone
Skinner 51.4%
Neutral zone
Skinner 55.9%
Result
Jeff Skinner favored at 60.3%
60.3%
39.7%
Skinner
Matthias
Head-to-Head Record
2
-
4
(6 meetings)
2
4
Skinner
Matthias
Last 6: Skinner 2-4 Matthias
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Skinner
2
1
Skinner
Matthias
3 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Matthias
0
2
Skinner
Matthias
2 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Matthias
0
1
Skinner
Matthias
1 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Skinner
Matthias
Edge
Even Strength
41.6% (149)
49.4% (510)
-7.8%
Power Play
60.0% (5)
55.3% (38)
+4.7%
Penalty Kill
40.0% (5)
46.5% (43)
-6.5%
On even strength, Matthias has a +7.8% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Matthias shoots left. Skinner is 44.2% vs left-shot opponents (113).
Skinner shoots left. Matthias is 50.3% vs left-shot opponents (390).
Home / Away
Skinner
Matthias
Home
46.8% (77)
47.6% (315)
Away
37.8% (82)
51.4% (282)
By Period
Skinner
Matthias
P1
45.6%
50.0%
P2
40.4%
51.9%
P3
40.4%
45.8%
OT
33.3%
75.0%
Final 5 min
41.2%
39.7%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Skinner
44.0%▬
44.5%
42.1%
Matthias
40.0%▼
41.5%
49.4%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Apr 7, 2012 | 1 | 07:31 | Offensive | Shawn Matthias |
| Feb 25, 2012 | 3 | 16:10 | Neutral | Shawn Matthias |
| Feb 25, 2012 | 3 | 00:32 | Defensive | Shawn Matthias |
| Feb 25, 2012 | 2 | 01:45 | Defensive | Shawn Matthias |
| Feb 25, 2012 | 1 | 12:07 | Offensive | Jeff Skinner |
| Feb 25, 2012 | 1 | 04:58 | Offensive | Jeff Skinner |