Scouting Report
Shawn Matthias holds a +6.0% FO% edge overall. Look for Matthias on defensive-zone draws (67% H2H, 3 meetings). Matthias wins 55.6% vs right-shot opponents — Downie shoots right.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Matthias 50.6% vs Downie 47.4% (+6.0%)
H2H factor
Not applied (5 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Downie 53.7%
Defensive zone
Matthias 57.1%
Neutral zone
Downie 54.6%
Result
Shawn Matthias favored at 52.8%
52.8%
47.2%
Matthias
Downie
Head-to-Head Record
2
-
3
(5 meetings)
2
3
Matthias
Downie
Last 5: Matthias 2-3 Downie
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Downie
0
2
Matthias
Downie
2 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Matthias
2
1
Matthias
Downie
3 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Matthias
Downie
Edge
Even Strength
51.0% (341)
50.9% (53)
+0.1%
Power Play
52.2% (23)
38.1% (42)
+14.1%
Penalty Kill
50.0% (4)
0.0% (1)
+50.0%
On penalty kill, Matthias has a +50.0% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Downie shoots right. Matthias is 55.6% vs right-shot opponents (133).
Matthias shoots left. Downie is 46.4% vs left-shot opponents (69).
Home / Away
Matthias
Downie
Home
50.6% (164)
48.8% (41)
Away
51.0% (206)
41.8% (55)
By Period
Matthias
Downie
P1
51.1%
35.5%
P2
54.5%
40.5%
P3
45.5%
63.0%
OT
62.5%
0.0%
Final 5 min
52.7%
41.2%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Matthias
40.0%▼
41.5%
50.8%
Downie
48.0%▲
46.0%
44.8%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Apr 8, 2011 | 2 | 05:08 | Defensive | Shawn Matthias |
| Nov 27, 2010 | 3 | 17:10 | Offensive | Steve Downie |
| Nov 27, 2010 | 1 | 15:22 | Defensive | Steve Downie |
| Oct 16, 2010 | 2 | 09:33 | Offensive | Steve Downie |
| Oct 16, 2010 | 2 | 06:28 | Defensive | Shawn Matthias |