Scouting Report
Tyler Bozak holds a +7.1% FO% edge overall. Look for Matthias on offensive-zone draws (60% H2H, 5 meetings). Matthias wins 46.8% vs right-shot opponents — Bozak shoots right.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Matthias 46.6% vs Bozak 53.4% (-7.1%)
H2H factor
Bozak leads 6-5 in 11 meetings
Offensive zone
Matthias 53.1%
Defensive zone
Matthias 56.7%
Neutral zone
Matthias 55.7%
Result
Shawn Matthias favored at 54.6%
54.6%
45.4%
Matthias
Bozak
Head-to-Head Record
5
-
6
(11 meetings)
5
6
Matthias
Bozak
Last 10: Matthias 5-5 Bozak
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Matthias
3
2
Matthias
Bozak
5 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Bozak
0
1
Matthias
Bozak
1 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Bozak
2
3
Matthias
Bozak
5 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Matthias
Bozak
Edge
Even Strength
46.4% (1,716)
53.7% (9,596)
-7.3%
Power Play
56.3% (103)
55.2% (1,990)
+1.1%
Penalty Kill
41.7% (175)
48.0% (1,094)
-6.3%
On even strength, Bozak has a +7.3% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Bozak shoots right. Matthias is 46.8% vs right-shot opponents (727).
Matthias shoots left. Bozak is 52.2% vs left-shot opponents (8,417).
Home / Away
Matthias
Bozak
Home
46.9% (933)
56.0% (6,333)
Away
45.9% (1,069)
51.0% (6,396)
By Period
Matthias
Bozak
P1
47.8%
53.2%
P2
49.4%
52.8%
P3
41.6%
54.5%
OT
45.0%
52.9%
Final 5 min
44.2%
53.6%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Matthias
40.0%▼
41.5%
46.4%
Bozak
46.0%▼
48.5%
53.5%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 26, 2013 | 3 | 06:33 | Neutral | Shawn Matthias |
| Mar 26, 2013 | 3 | 02:37 | Offensive | Shawn Matthias |
| Mar 26, 2013 | 2 | 09:41 | Neutral | Tyler Bozak |
| Mar 26, 2013 | 2 | 06:57 | Offensive | Shawn Matthias |
| Mar 26, 2013 | 2 | 03:11 | Offensive | Shawn Matthias |
| Mar 26, 2013 | 2 | 00:00 | Neutral | Shawn Matthias |
| Feb 28, 2012 | 2 | 05:26 | Offensive | Tyler Bozak |
| Dec 27, 2011 | 3 | 13:13 | Neutral | Tyler Bozak |
| Dec 27, 2011 | 2 | 06:55 | Neutral | Tyler Bozak |
| Nov 8, 2011 | 1 | 04:57 | Offensive | Tyler Bozak |
| Nov 10, 2010 | 2 | 11:09 | Defensive | Tyler Bozak |