Scouting Report
Shawn Matthias holds a +5.2% FO% edge overall. Matthias wins 46.2% vs left-shot opponents — Ennis shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Matthias 46.6% vs Ennis 41.7% (+5.2%)
H2H factor
Not applied (8 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Ennis 67.0%
Defensive zone
Ennis 56.0%
Neutral zone
Ennis 58.4%
Result
Tyler Ennis favored at 57.8%
42.2%
57.8%
Matthias
Ennis
Head-to-Head Record
3
-
5
(8 meetings)
3
5
Matthias
Ennis
Last 8: Matthias 3-5 Ennis
Zone Breakdown
Defensive Zone
Edge: Ennis
0
2
Matthias
Ennis
2 total
Neutral Zone
Even
3
3
Matthias
Ennis
6 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Matthias
Ennis
Edge
Even Strength
46.4% (1,716)
40.7% (1,404)
+5.7%
Power Play
56.3% (103)
45.5% (167)
+10.8%
Penalty Kill
41.7% (175)
38.1% (21)
+3.6%
On power play, Matthias has a +10.8% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Ennis shoots left. Matthias is 46.2% vs left-shot opponents (1,275).
Matthias shoots left. Ennis is 43.4% vs left-shot opponents (951).
Home / Away
Matthias
Ennis
Home
46.9% (933)
43.6% (834)
Away
45.9% (1,069)
38.4% (760)
By Period
Matthias
Ennis
P1
47.8%
39.4%
P2
49.4%
43.1%
P3
41.6%
41.7%
OT
45.0%
31.6%
Final 5 min
44.2%
40.7%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Matthias
40.0%▼
41.5%
46.4%
Ennis
60.0%▲
43.5%
41.2%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 23, 2014 | 3 | 04:04 | Neutral | Shawn Matthias |
| Jan 21, 2014 | 3 | 05:47 | Defensive | Tyler Ennis |
| Mar 28, 2013 | 3 | 00:19 | Neutral | Tyler Ennis |
| Mar 28, 2013 | 3 | 00:00 | Neutral | Tyler Ennis |
| Mar 28, 2013 | 2 | 03:39 | Defensive | Tyler Ennis |
| Mar 28, 2013 | 2 | 00:43 | Neutral | Tyler Ennis |
| Mar 28, 2013 | 1 | 00:00 | Neutral | Shawn Matthias |
| Mar 17, 2012 | 1 | 17:15 | Neutral | Shawn Matthias |