Scouting Report
Zack Smith holds a +7.7% FO% edge overall. Look for Smith on defensive-zone draws (100% H2H, 3 meetings). Matthias wins 42.7% vs left-shot opponents — Smith shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Matthias 45.4% vs Smith 51.6% (-7.7%)
H2H factor
Smith leads 7-3 in 10 meetings
Offensive zone
Matthias 70.6%
Defensive zone
Matthias 66.7%
Neutral zone
Matthias 70.9%
Result
Shawn Matthias favored at 69.5%
69.5%
30.5%
Matthias
Smith
Head-to-Head Record
3
-
7
(10 meetings)
3
7
Matthias
Smith
Last 10: Matthias 3-7 Smith
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Even
2
2
Matthias
Smith
4 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Smith
0
3
Matthias
Smith
3 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Smith
1
2
Matthias
Smith
3 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Matthias
Smith
Edge
Even Strength
43.2% (310)
52.6% (635)
-9.4%
Power Play
57.1% (21)
45.5% (44)
+11.6%
Penalty Kill
43.8% (16)
48.1% (52)
-4.3%
On power play, Matthias has a +11.6% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Smith shoots left. Matthias is 42.7% vs left-shot opponents (225).
Matthias shoots left. Smith is 54.3% vs left-shot opponents (442).
Home / Away
Matthias
Smith
Home
40.7% (172)
53.4% (371)
Away
47.4% (175)
50.3% (360)
By Period
Matthias
Smith
P1
47.4%
50.2%
P2
46.0%
52.2%
P3
39.4%
52.7%
OT
0.0%
57.1%
Final 5 min
39.0%
56.7%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Matthias
40.0%▼
41.5%
44.1%
Smith
40.0%▼
47.0%
51.8%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Apr 7, 2013 | 3 | 10:10 | Offensive | Shawn Matthias |
| Apr 7, 2013 | 3 | 08:31 | Neutral | Zack Smith |
| Apr 7, 2013 | 2 | 11:53 | Neutral | Zack Smith |
| Apr 7, 2013 | 2 | 06:52 | Defensive | Zack Smith |
| Jan 24, 2013 | 3 | 11:07 | Offensive | Zack Smith |
| Jan 24, 2013 | 3 | 01:29 | Offensive | Shawn Matthias |
| Jan 24, 2013 | 2 | 15:30 | Neutral | Shawn Matthias |
| Jan 24, 2013 | 1 | 01:58 | Defensive | Zack Smith |
| Jan 21, 2013 | 3 | 01:19 | Offensive | Zack Smith |
| Jan 21, 2013 | 2 | 19:05 | Defensive | Zack Smith |