Scouting Report
Zack Smith holds a +4.2% FO% edge overall. Look for Smith on neutral-zone draws (80% H2H, 10 meetings). Matthias wins 46.2% vs left-shot opponents — Smith shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Matthias 46.6% vs Smith 50.6% (-4.2%)
H2H factor
Smith leads 19-7 in 26 meetings
Offensive zone
Matthias 73.6%
Defensive zone
Matthias 75.4%
Neutral zone
Matthias 73.1%
Result
Shawn Matthias favored at 73.8%
73.8%
26.2%
Matthias
Smith
Head-to-Head Record
7
-
19
(26 meetings)
7
19
Matthias
Smith
Last 10: Matthias 1-9 Smith
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Smith
4
6
Matthias
Smith
10 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Smith
1
5
Matthias
Smith
6 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Smith
2
8
Matthias
Smith
10 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Matthias
Smith
Edge
Even Strength
46.4% (1,716)
51.6% (5,265)
-5.2%
Power Play
56.3% (103)
51.2% (342)
+5.1%
Penalty Kill
41.7% (175)
45.3% (985)
-3.6%
On even strength, Smith has a +5.2% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Smith shoots left. Matthias is 46.2% vs left-shot opponents (1,275).
Matthias shoots left. Smith is 52.2% vs left-shot opponents (4,205).
Home / Away
Matthias
Smith
Home
46.9% (933)
52.5% (3,289)
Away
45.9% (1,069)
48.7% (3,310)
By Period
Matthias
Smith
P1
47.8%
49.9%
P2
49.4%
50.0%
P3
41.6%
51.9%
OT
45.0%
51.6%
Final 5 min
44.2%
52.0%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Matthias
40.0%▼
41.5%
46.4%
Smith
40.0%▼
47.0%
50.6%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Dec 3, 2013 | 2 | 07:27 | Offensive | Zack Smith |
| Dec 3, 2013 | 2 | 04:44 | Offensive | Zack Smith |
| Dec 3, 2013 | 1 | 10:58 | Neutral | Zack Smith |
| Nov 9, 2013 | 2 | 13:34 | Offensive | Zack Smith |
| Nov 9, 2013 | 2 | 05:52 | Neutral | Zack Smith |
| Nov 9, 2013 | 2 | 03:06 | Neutral | Zack Smith |
| Apr 7, 2013 | 3 | 10:10 | Offensive | Shawn Matthias |
| Apr 7, 2013 | 3 | 08:31 | Neutral | Zack Smith |
| Apr 7, 2013 | 2 | 11:53 | Neutral | Zack Smith |
| Apr 7, 2013 | 2 | 06:52 | Defensive | Zack Smith |
| Jan 24, 2013 | 3 | 11:07 | Offensive | Zack Smith |
| Jan 24, 2013 | 3 | 01:29 | Offensive | Shawn Matthias |
| Jan 24, 2013 | 2 | 15:30 | Neutral | Shawn Matthias |
| Jan 24, 2013 | 1 | 01:58 | Defensive | Zack Smith |
| Jan 21, 2013 | 3 | 01:19 | Offensive | Zack Smith |
| Jan 21, 2013 | 2 | 19:05 | Defensive | Zack Smith |
| Feb 15, 2012 | 2 | 15:02 | Defensive | Zack Smith |
| Feb 15, 2012 | 2 | 00:49 | Offensive | Shawn Matthias |
| Feb 15, 2012 | 1 | 05:35 | Neutral | Zack Smith |
| Dec 22, 2011 | OT | 00:00 | Neutral | Zack Smith |