Scouting Report
Zack Smith holds a +10.4% FO% edge overall. Look for Smith on offensive-zone draws (100% H2H, 3 meetings). Matthias wins 42.4% vs left-shot opponents — Smith shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Matthias 43.7% vs Smith 52.5% (-10.4%)
H2H factor
Not applied (6 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Matthias 77.0%
Defensive zone
Matthias 84.9%
Neutral zone
Matthias 78.6%
Result
Shawn Matthias favored at 77.8%
77.8%
22.2%
Matthias
Smith
Head-to-Head Record
0
-
6
(6 meetings)
0
6
Matthias
Smith
Last 6: Matthias 0-6 Smith
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Smith
0
3
Matthias
Smith
3 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Smith
0
3
Matthias
Smith
3 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Matthias
Smith
Edge
Even Strength
41.3% (358)
53.0% (1,048)
-11.7%
Power Play
62.5% (16)
57.4% (47)
+5.1%
Penalty Kill
42.4% (59)
50.0% (196)
-7.6%
On even strength, Smith has a +11.7% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Smith shoots left. Matthias is 42.4% vs left-shot opponents (276).
Matthias shoots left. Smith is 53.2% vs left-shot opponents (821).
Home / Away
Matthias
Smith
Home
48.5% (198)
53.9% (629)
Away
37.0% (235)
51.5% (662)
By Period
Matthias
Smith
P1
41.9%
50.4%
P2
47.5%
51.8%
P3
37.5%
56.4%
OT
33.3%
31.6%
Final 5 min
50.5%
54.2%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Matthias
40.0%▼
41.5%
42.3%
Smith
40.0%▼
47.0%
52.7%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Dec 3, 2013 | 2 | 07:27 | Offensive | Zack Smith |
| Dec 3, 2013 | 2 | 04:44 | Offensive | Zack Smith |
| Dec 3, 2013 | 1 | 10:58 | Neutral | Zack Smith |
| Nov 9, 2013 | 2 | 13:34 | Offensive | Zack Smith |
| Nov 9, 2013 | 2 | 05:52 | Neutral | Zack Smith |
| Nov 9, 2013 | 2 | 03:06 | Neutral | Zack Smith |