Scouting Report
Sidney Crosby holds a +1.2% FO% edge overall. Look for Crosby on offensive-zone draws (100% H2H, 4 meetings). Henrique wins 54.7% vs left-shot opponents — Crosby shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Henrique 53.8% vs Crosby 55.3% (-1.2%)
H2H factor
Not applied (8 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Crosby 72.1%
Defensive zone
Henrique 85.0%
Neutral zone
Henrique 58.3%
Result
Sidney Crosby favored at 53.6%
46.4%
53.6%
Henrique
Crosby
Head-to-Head Record
3
-
5
(8 meetings)
3
5
Henrique
Crosby
Last 8: Henrique 3-5 Crosby
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Crosby
0
4
Henrique
Crosby
4 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Henrique
1
0
Henrique
Crosby
1 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Henrique
2
1
Henrique
Crosby
3 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Henrique
Crosby
Edge
Even Strength
56.1% (376)
53.5% (961)
+2.6%
Power Play
47.6% (21)
64.1% (237)
-16.5%
Penalty Kill
50.8% (124)
64.3% (14)
-13.5%
On power play, Crosby has a +16.5% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Crosby shoots left. Henrique is 54.7% vs left-shot opponents (351).
Henrique shoots left. Crosby is 54.7% vs left-shot opponents (856).
Home / Away
Henrique
Crosby
Home
53.5% (215)
56.4% (622)
Away
55.2% (306)
54.9% (590)
By Period
Henrique
Crosby
P1
57.7%
56.0%
P2
53.8%
52.6%
P3
51.6%
58.3%
OT
100.0%
54.2%
Final 5 min
48.1%
55.8%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Henrique
52.0%▬
52.5%
54.5%
Crosby
64.0%▲
53.5%
55.7%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Dec 16, 2025 | 3 | 11:56 | Offensive | Sidney Crosby |
| Dec 16, 2025 | 3 | 08:14 | Offensive | Sidney Crosby |
| Dec 16, 2025 | 3 | 00:00 | Neutral | Sidney Crosby |
| Dec 16, 2025 | 2 | 18:14 | Defensive | Adam Henrique |
| Dec 16, 2025 | 2 | 14:02 | Offensive | Sidney Crosby |
| Dec 16, 2025 | 2 | 09:36 | Neutral | Adam Henrique |
| Dec 16, 2025 | 2 | 05:30 | Offensive | Sidney Crosby |
| Dec 16, 2025 | 1 | 07:51 | Neutral | Adam Henrique |