Scouting Report
Sidney Crosby holds a +1.8% FO% edge overall. Look for Crosby on offensive-zone draws (67% H2H, 3 meetings). Cizikas wins 55.1% vs left-shot opponents — Crosby shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Cizikas 54.4% vs Crosby 56.6% (-1.8%)
H2H factor
Not applied (5 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Crosby 70.5%
Defensive zone
Cizikas 75.6%
Neutral zone
Cizikas 53.9%
Result
Sidney Crosby favored at 52.1%
47.9%
52.1%
Cizikas
Crosby
Head-to-Head Record
2
-
3
(5 meetings)
2
3
Cizikas
Crosby
Last 5: Cizikas 2-3 Crosby
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Crosby
1
2
Cizikas
Crosby
3 total
Defensive Zone
Even
1
1
Cizikas
Crosby
2 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Cizikas
Crosby
Edge
Even Strength
56.4% (576)
56.2% (1,451)
+0.2%
Power Play
50.0% (2)
61.4% (293)
-11.4%
Penalty Kill
33.3% (33)
55.3% (38)
-22.0%
On penalty kill, Crosby has a +22.0% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Crosby shoots left. Cizikas is 55.1% vs left-shot opponents (408).
Cizikas shoots left. Crosby is 56.8% vs left-shot opponents (1,164).
Home / Away
Cizikas
Crosby
Home
55.4% (303)
59.1% (939)
Away
54.9% (308)
54.7% (843)
By Period
Cizikas
Crosby
P1
53.0%
54.9%
P2
56.0%
60.8%
P3
56.2%
55.4%
Final 5 min
51.8%
56.7%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Cizikas
60.0%▼
61.5%
55.2%
Crosby
64.0%▲
54.5%
57.0%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 18, 2025 | 3 | 13:30 | Defensive | Casey Cizikas |
| Nov 5, 2024 | 3 | 16:22 | Defensive | Sidney Crosby |
| Nov 5, 2024 | 2 | 09:21 | Offensive | Sidney Crosby |
| Nov 5, 2024 | 1 | 15:47 | Offensive | Sidney Crosby |
| Nov 5, 2024 | 1 | 04:33 | Offensive | Casey Cizikas |