Scouting Report
Sidney Crosby holds a +5.3% FO% edge overall. Look for Crosby on offensive-zone draws (75% H2H, 8 meetings). Coyle wins 46.6% vs left-shot opponents — Crosby shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Coyle 48.6% vs Crosby 53.3% (-5.3%)
H2H factor
Crosby leads 15-8 in 23 meetings
Offensive zone
Coyle 77.0%
Defensive zone
Coyle 82.6%
Neutral zone
Coyle 76.0%
Result
Charlie Coyle favored at 79.2%
79.2%
20.8%
Coyle
Crosby
Head-to-Head Record
8
-
15
(23 meetings)
8
15
Coyle
Crosby
Last 10: Coyle 3-7 Crosby
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Crosby
2
6
Coyle
Crosby
8 total
Defensive Zone
Even
5
5
Coyle
Crosby
10 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Crosby
1
4
Coyle
Crosby
5 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Coyle
Crosby
Edge
Even Strength
48.3% (402)
54.3% (996)
-6.0%
Power Play
51.2% (41)
53.5% (215)
-2.3%
Penalty Kill
46.9% (64)
39.2% (51)
+7.7%
On penalty kill, Coyle has a +7.7% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Crosby shoots left. Coyle is 46.6% vs left-shot opponents (311).
Coyle shoots right. Crosby is 51.8% vs right-shot opponents (628).
Home / Away
Coyle
Crosby
Home
52.5% (238)
55.8% (615)
Away
44.6% (269)
51.5% (647)
By Period
Coyle
Crosby
P1
49.7%
58.7%
P2
49.5%
50.0%
P3
46.3%
51.7%
OT
33.3%
61.5%
Final 5 min
53.8%
50.2%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Coyle
48.0%▼
51.0%
48.3%
Crosby
64.0%▲
54.5%
53.6%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Apr 25, 2021 | 1 | 10:02 | Neutral | Sidney Crosby |
| Apr 3, 2021 | 3 | 19:31 | Offensive | Sidney Crosby |
| Apr 3, 2021 | 3 | 18:59 | Neutral | Charlie Coyle |
| Apr 3, 2021 | 3 | 18:49 | Defensive | Charlie Coyle |
| Apr 3, 2021 | 3 | 02:05 | Offensive | Sidney Crosby |
| Apr 3, 2021 | 2 | 18:29 | Neutral | Sidney Crosby |
| Apr 1, 2021 | 3 | 01:03 | Defensive | Sidney Crosby |
| Apr 1, 2021 | 1 | 19:09 | Defensive | Charlie Coyle |
| Apr 1, 2021 | 1 | 13:06 | Defensive | Sidney Crosby |
| Mar 16, 2021 | 2 | 15:14 | Defensive | Sidney Crosby |
| Mar 16, 2021 | 2 | 15:12 | Defensive | Sidney Crosby |
| Mar 16, 2021 | 2 | 07:39 | Offensive | Charlie Coyle |
| Mar 16, 2021 | 2 | 01:47 | Offensive | Sidney Crosby |
| Mar 16, 2021 | 1 | 15:55 | Offensive | Sidney Crosby |
| Mar 16, 2021 | 1 | 12:29 | Defensive | Sidney Crosby |
| Mar 15, 2021 | 3 | 16:24 | Offensive | Sidney Crosby |
| Mar 15, 2021 | 2 | 18:18 | Neutral | Sidney Crosby |
| Mar 15, 2021 | 2 | 18:06 | Neutral | Sidney Crosby |
| Mar 15, 2021 | 2 | 00:28 | Defensive | Charlie Coyle |
| Mar 15, 2021 | 1 | 11:36 | Offensive | Sidney Crosby |