Scouting Report
Sidney Crosby holds a +4.8% FO% edge overall. Look for Crosby on offensive-zone draws (86% H2H, 7 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Kelly 50.8% vs Crosby 55.1% (-4.8%)
H2H factor
Not applied (9 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Kelly 57.0%
Defensive zone
Kelly 81.8%
Neutral zone
Kelly 69.5%
Result
Chris Kelly favored at 62.5%
62.5%
37.5%
Kelly
Crosby
Head-to-Head Record
3
-
6
(9 meetings)
3
6
Kelly
Crosby
Last 9: Kelly 3-6 Crosby
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Crosby
1
6
Kelly
Crosby
7 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Kelly
2
0
Kelly
Crosby
2 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Kelly
Crosby
Edge
Even Strength
51.9% (723)
55.1% (648)
-3.2%
Power Play
54.2% (24)
58.6% (256)
-4.4%
Penalty Kill
46.4% (166)
47.6% (63)
-1.2%
On power play, Crosby has a +4.4% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Crosby shoots left. Kelly is 51.9% vs left-shot opponents (605).
Kelly shoots left. Crosby is 56.0% vs left-shot opponents (620).
Home / Away
Kelly
Crosby
Home
53.8% (442)
57.1% (552)
Away
48.1% (474)
53.8% (429)
By Period
Kelly
Crosby
P1
50.2%
60.3%
P2
47.6%
55.8%
P3
54.5%
50.8%
OT
85.7%
54.5%
Final 5 min
52.8%
52.2%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Kelly
38.0%▼
43.5%
50.9%
Crosby
64.0%▲
54.5%
55.7%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Dec 26, 2010 | 3 | 17:52 | Offensive | Sidney Crosby |
| Dec 26, 2010 | 3 | 16:45 | Defensive | Chris Kelly |
| Dec 26, 2010 | 3 | 10:38 | Offensive | Sidney Crosby |
| Dec 26, 2010 | 2 | 18:31 | Defensive | Chris Kelly |
| Dec 26, 2010 | 2 | 06:12 | Offensive | Chris Kelly |
| Dec 26, 2010 | 2 | 06:01 | Offensive | Sidney Crosby |
| Nov 26, 2010 | 2 | 14:25 | Offensive | Sidney Crosby |
| Nov 26, 2010 | 2 | 08:25 | Offensive | Sidney Crosby |
| Oct 18, 2010 | 2 | 12:38 | Offensive | Sidney Crosby |