Scouting Report
Sidney Crosby holds a +3.7% FO% edge overall. Look for Crosby on offensive-zone draws (100% H2H, 4 meetings). Kelly wins 41.5% vs left-shot opponents — Crosby shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Kelly 45.4% vs Crosby 48.3% (-3.7%)
H2H factor
Not applied (7 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Kelly 63.3%
Defensive zone
Kelly 90.3%
Neutral zone
Kelly 74.5%
Result
Chris Kelly favored at 70.4%
70.4%
29.6%
Kelly
Crosby
Head-to-Head Record
1
-
6
(7 meetings)
1
6
Kelly
Crosby
Last 7: Kelly 1-6 Crosby
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Crosby
0
4
Kelly
Crosby
4 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Kelly
1
0
Kelly
Crosby
1 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Crosby
0
2
Kelly
Crosby
2 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Kelly
Crosby
Edge
Even Strength
47.5% (373)
46.8% (1,360)
+0.7%
Penalty Kill
35.9% (128)
45.2% (31)
-9.3%
On penalty kill, Crosby has a +9.3% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Crosby shoots left. Kelly is 41.5% vs left-shot opponents (299).
Kelly shoots left. Crosby is 47.8% vs left-shot opponents (1,127).
Home / Away
Kelly
Crosby
Home
47.5% (259)
51.0% (867)
Away
41.3% (242)
45.4% (881)
By Period
Kelly
Crosby
P1
46.7%
50.8%
P2
42.9%
47.9%
P3
43.4%
46.5%
Final 5 min
42.2%
48.2%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Kelly
38.0%▼
43.5%
44.5%
Crosby
64.0%▲
54.5%
48.2%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jan 12, 2017 | 2 | 16:02 | Offensive | Sidney Crosby |
| Jan 12, 2017 | 2 | 06:43 | Offensive | Sidney Crosby |
| Jan 12, 2017 | 1 | 06:19 | Defensive | Chris Kelly |
| Dec 5, 2016 | 2 | 12:21 | Neutral | Sidney Crosby |
| Dec 5, 2016 | 2 | 09:58 | Neutral | Sidney Crosby |
| Dec 5, 2016 | 1 | 12:36 | Offensive | Sidney Crosby |
| Dec 5, 2016 | 1 | 10:49 | Offensive | Sidney Crosby |