Scouting Report
Sidney Crosby holds a +6.0% FO% edge overall. Look for Crosby on offensive-zone draws (100% H2H, 5 meetings). Tierney wins 46.4% vs left-shot opponents — Crosby shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Tierney 46.2% vs Crosby 51.6% (-6.0%)
H2H factor
Not applied (8 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Tierney 63.7%
Defensive zone
Tierney 93.4%
Neutral zone
Tierney 76.4%
Result
Chris Tierney favored at 68.5%
68.5%
31.5%
Tierney
Crosby
Head-to-Head Record
1
-
7
(8 meetings)
1
7
Tierney
Crosby
Last 8: Tierney 1-7 Crosby
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Crosby
0
5
Tierney
Crosby
5 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Crosby
1
2
Tierney
Crosby
3 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Tierney
Crosby
Edge
Even Strength
45.7% (648)
51.9% (1,456)
-6.2%
Power Play
66.7% (12)
52.8% (392)
+13.9%
Penalty Kill
44.1% (145)
39.0% (59)
+5.1%
On power play, Tierney has a +13.9% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Crosby shoots left. Tierney is 46.4% vs left-shot opponents (549).
Tierney shoots left. Crosby is 51.1% vs left-shot opponents (1,186).
Home / Away
Tierney
Crosby
Home
48.5% (394)
52.4% (976)
Away
43.1% (411)
51.0% (931)
By Period
Tierney
Crosby
P1
48.7%
51.6%
P2
49.0%
53.1%
P3
40.6%
51.0%
Final 5 min
48.0%
48.3%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Tierney
60.0%▲
56.5%
45.7%
Crosby
64.0%▲
54.5%
51.7%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Dec 1, 2015 | 3 | 15:54 | Neutral | Sidney Crosby |
| Dec 1, 2015 | 3 | 06:51 | Offensive | Sidney Crosby |
| Nov 21, 2015 | 3 | 11:04 | Offensive | Sidney Crosby |
| Nov 21, 2015 | 2 | 17:21 | Offensive | Sidney Crosby |
| Nov 21, 2015 | 2 | 15:54 | Neutral | Sidney Crosby |
| Nov 21, 2015 | 2 | 08:38 | Neutral | Chris Tierney |
| Nov 21, 2015 | 2 | 06:39 | Offensive | Sidney Crosby |
| Nov 21, 2015 | 1 | 04:14 | Offensive | Sidney Crosby |