Scouting Report
Sidney Crosby holds a +2.0% FO% edge overall. Look for Tierney on defensive-zone draws (100% H2H, 3 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Tierney 50.9% vs Crosby 52.9% (-2.0%)
H2H factor
Not applied (7 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Crosby 84.7%
Defensive zone
Tierney 57.4%
Neutral zone
Crosby 65.8%
Result
Sidney Crosby favored at 61.3%
38.7%
61.3%
Tierney
Crosby
Head-to-Head Record
6
-
1
(7 meetings)
6
1
Tierney
Crosby
Last 7: Tierney 6-1 Crosby
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Tierney
2
0
Tierney
Crosby
2 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Tierney
3
0
Tierney
Crosby
3 total
Neutral Zone
Even
1
1
Tierney
Crosby
2 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Tierney
Crosby
Edge
Even Strength
50.1% (774)
52.5% (1,479)
-2.4%
Power Play
52.7% (74)
55.7% (397)
-3.0%
Penalty Kill
56.5% (108)
47.5% (59)
+9.0%
On penalty kill, Tierney has a +9.0% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Crosby shoots left. Tierney is 52.8% vs left-shot opponents (615).
Tierney shoots left. Crosby is 51.9% vs left-shot opponents (1,199).
Home / Away
Tierney
Crosby
Home
52.6% (483)
54.9% (993)
Away
49.5% (473)
51.1% (942)
By Period
Tierney
Crosby
P1
51.9%
52.2%
P2
47.4%
53.2%
P3
54.1%
53.4%
OT
66.7%
59.1%
Final 5 min
47.7%
49.5%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Tierney
60.0%▲
56.5%
51.0%
Crosby
64.0%▲
54.5%
53.0%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jan 30, 2018 | 2 | 18:35 | Neutral | Sidney Crosby |
| Jan 30, 2018 | 2 | 09:49 | Offensive | Chris Tierney |
| Jan 30, 2018 | 2 | 02:10 | Offensive | Chris Tierney |
| Jan 20, 2018 | 3 | 01:53 | Neutral | Chris Tierney |
| Jan 20, 2018 | 2 | 10:07 | Defensive | Chris Tierney |
| Jan 20, 2018 | 2 | 06:44 | Defensive | Chris Tierney |
| Jan 20, 2018 | 1 | 05:43 | Defensive | Chris Tierney |