Scouting Report
Sidney Crosby holds a +14.2% FO% edge overall. Brown wins 43.2% vs left-shot opponents — Crosby shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Brown 43.3% vs Crosby 52.9% (-14.2%)
H2H factor
Not applied (5 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Brown 60.4%
Defensive zone
Brown 60.8%
Neutral zone
Brown 58.3%
Result
Connor Brown favored at 59.7%
59.7%
40.3%
Brown
Crosby
Head-to-Head Record
2
-
3
(5 meetings)
2
3
Brown
Crosby
Last 5: Brown 2-3 Crosby
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Crosby
0
1
Brown
Crosby
1 total
Defensive Zone
Even
1
1
Brown
Crosby
2 total
Neutral Zone
Even
1
1
Brown
Crosby
2 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Brown
Crosby
Edge
Even Strength
39.1% (115)
52.5% (1,479)
-13.4%
Power Play
0.0% (1)
55.7% (397)
-55.7%
Penalty Kill
38.9% (36)
47.5% (59)
-8.6%
On power play, Crosby has a +55.7% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Crosby shoots left. Brown is 43.2% vs left-shot opponents (95).
Brown shoots right. Crosby is 54.9% vs right-shot opponents (736).
Home / Away
Brown
Crosby
Home
40.8% (71)
54.9% (993)
Away
37.0% (81)
51.1% (942)
By Period
Brown
Crosby
P1
35.5%
52.2%
P2
40.4%
53.2%
P3
44.8%
53.4%
OT
25.0%
59.1%
Final 5 min
36.4%
49.5%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Brown
26.0%▼
34.0%
38.8%
Crosby
64.0%▲
54.5%
53.0%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 10, 2018 | 2 | 02:40 | Neutral | Sidney Crosby |
| Mar 10, 2018 | 2 | 02:35 | Neutral | Connor Brown |
| Mar 10, 2018 | 2 | 02:27 | Defensive | Sidney Crosby |
| Dec 9, 2017 | 2 | 17:03 | Defensive | Connor Brown |
| Dec 9, 2017 | 1 | 03:18 | Offensive | Sidney Crosby |