Scouting Report
These two are closely matched in overall FO% (51.7% vs 52.5%). Look for Crosby on offensive-zone draws (75% H2H, 8 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Backes 51.6% vs Crosby 52.4% (-0.8%)
H2H factor
Crosby leads 15-6 in 21 meetings
Offensive zone
Backes 54.8%
Defensive zone
Backes 76.2%
Neutral zone
Backes 62.7%
Result
David Backes favored at 63.5%
63.5%
36.5%
Backes
Crosby
Head-to-Head Record
6
-
15
(21 meetings)
6
15
Backes
Crosby
Last 10: Backes 1-9 Crosby
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Crosby
2
6
Backes
Crosby
8 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Crosby
2
4
Backes
Crosby
6 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Crosby
2
5
Backes
Crosby
7 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Backes
Crosby
Edge
Even Strength
51.3% (861)
50.9% (1,345)
+0.4%
Power Play
50.0% (176)
59.5% (439)
-9.5%
Penalty Kill
55.5% (164)
44.7% (103)
+10.8%
On penalty kill, Backes has a +10.8% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Crosby shoots left. Backes is 50.7% vs left-shot opponents (848).
Backes shoots right. Crosby is 51.9% vs right-shot opponents (707).
Home / Away
Backes
Crosby
Home
53.3% (599)
53.9% (941)
Away
50.2% (602)
51.2% (946)
By Period
Backes
Crosby
P1
53.5%
49.3%
P2
50.3%
54.5%
P3
51.5%
53.9%
OT
50.0%
48.6%
Final 5 min
54.7%
49.7%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Backes
56.0%▲
49.5%
51.7%
Crosby
64.0%▲
54.5%
52.5%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 23, 2014 | 2 | 10:18 | Offensive | Sidney Crosby |
| Mar 23, 2014 | 2 | 00:54 | Offensive | Sidney Crosby |
| Mar 23, 2014 | 2 | 00:00 | Neutral | Sidney Crosby |
| Mar 23, 2014 | 1 | 13:41 | Defensive | Sidney Crosby |
| Mar 23, 2014 | 1 | 00:06 | Offensive | Sidney Crosby |
| Nov 9, 2013 | 3 | 19:55 | Defensive | David Backes |
| Nov 9, 2013 | 3 | 18:46 | Neutral | Sidney Crosby |
| Nov 9, 2013 | 3 | 15:21 | Offensive | Sidney Crosby |
| Nov 9, 2013 | 3 | 11:00 | Offensive | Sidney Crosby |
| Nov 9, 2013 | 3 | 10:52 | Neutral | Sidney Crosby |
| Nov 9, 2013 | 3 | 08:58 | Defensive | Sidney Crosby |
| Nov 9, 2013 | 3 | 06:54 | Defensive | Sidney Crosby |
| Nov 9, 2013 | 3 | 06:30 | Neutral | Sidney Crosby |
| Nov 9, 2013 | 3 | 06:25 | Offensive | David Backes |
| Nov 9, 2013 | 3 | 00:00 | Neutral | David Backes |
| Nov 9, 2013 | 2 | 13:51 | Neutral | David Backes |
| Nov 9, 2013 | 2 | 13:35 | Defensive | Sidney Crosby |
| Nov 9, 2013 | 2 | 06:34 | Defensive | David Backes |
| Nov 9, 2013 | 1 | 19:46 | Offensive | David Backes |
| Nov 9, 2013 | 1 | 17:29 | Neutral | Sidney Crosby |