Scouting Report
These two are closely matched in overall FO% (52.0% vs 51.7%). Look for Backes on defensive-zone draws (100% H2H, 6 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Backes 51.9% vs Crosby 51.6% (+0.3%)
H2H factor
Backes leads 7-3 in 10 meetings
Offensive zone
Crosby 57.0%
Defensive zone
Backes 85.7%
Neutral zone
Backes 62.4%
Result
David Backes favored at 74.4%
74.4%
25.6%
Backes
Crosby
Head-to-Head Record
7
-
3
(10 meetings)
7
3
Backes
Crosby
Last 10: Backes 7-3 Crosby
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Crosby
0
1
Backes
Crosby
1 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Backes
6
0
Backes
Crosby
6 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Crosby
1
2
Backes
Crosby
3 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Backes
Crosby
Edge
Even Strength
52.1% (893)
51.9% (1,456)
+0.2%
Power Play
54.4% (147)
52.8% (392)
+1.6%
Penalty Kill
49.3% (152)
39.0% (59)
+10.3%
On penalty kill, Backes has a +10.3% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Crosby shoots left. Backes is 51.5% vs left-shot opponents (800).
Backes shoots right. Crosby is 52.7% vs right-shot opponents (721).
Home / Away
Backes
Crosby
Home
53.1% (573)
52.4% (976)
Away
51.1% (619)
51.0% (931)
By Period
Backes
Crosby
P1
51.8%
51.6%
P2
52.3%
53.1%
P3
52.6%
51.0%
OT
33.3%
40.5%
Final 5 min
53.6%
48.3%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Backes
56.0%▲
49.5%
52.0%
Crosby
36.0%▼
52.5%
51.7%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jan 18, 2016 | 2 | 15:05 | Defensive | David Backes |
| Jan 18, 2016 | 2 | 09:16 | Neutral | David Backes |
| Jan 18, 2016 | 1 | 17:21 | Defensive | David Backes |
| Jan 18, 2016 | 1 | 02:07 | Defensive | David Backes |
| Nov 25, 2015 | 3 | 14:33 | Defensive | David Backes |
| Nov 25, 2015 | 3 | 14:19 | Neutral | Sidney Crosby |
| Nov 25, 2015 | 3 | 07:12 | Defensive | David Backes |
| Nov 25, 2015 | 2 | 09:39 | Defensive | David Backes |
| Nov 25, 2015 | 2 | 04:54 | Offensive | Sidney Crosby |
| Nov 25, 2015 | 1 | 16:19 | Neutral | Sidney Crosby |