Scouting Report
Sidney Crosby holds a +9.3% FO% edge overall. Look for Roy on offensive-zone draws (83% H2H, 6 meetings). Roy wins 44.7% vs left-shot opponents — Crosby shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Roy 47.0% vs Crosby 55.1% (-9.3%)
H2H factor
Roy leads 8-4 in 12 meetings
Offensive zone
Crosby 68.5%
Defensive zone
Crosby 82.7%
Neutral zone
Crosby 87.8%
Result
Sidney Crosby favored at 76.0%
24.0%
76.0%
Roy
Crosby
Head-to-Head Record
8
-
4
(12 meetings)
8
4
Roy
Crosby
Last 10: Roy 6-4 Crosby
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Roy
5
1
Roy
Crosby
6 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Crosby
2
3
Roy
Crosby
5 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Roy
1
0
Roy
Crosby
1 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Roy
Crosby
Edge
Even Strength
43.9% (380)
55.1% (648)
-11.2%
Power Play
52.8% (106)
58.6% (256)
-5.8%
Penalty Kill
55.3% (38)
47.6% (63)
+7.7%
On even strength, Crosby has a +11.2% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Crosby shoots left. Roy is 44.7% vs left-shot opponents (300).
Roy shoots left. Crosby is 56.0% vs left-shot opponents (620).
Home / Away
Roy
Crosby
Home
51.6% (283)
57.1% (552)
Away
40.4% (245)
53.8% (429)
By Period
Roy
Crosby
P1
47.8%
60.3%
P2
41.1%
55.8%
P3
49.7%
50.8%
OT
41.7%
54.5%
Final 5 min
42.4%
52.2%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Roy
72.0%▲
47.0%
46.4%
Crosby
64.0%▲
54.5%
55.7%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Dec 11, 2010 | 3 | 17:37 | Defensive | Derek Roy |
| Dec 11, 2010 | 3 | 17:35 | Offensive | Sidney Crosby |
| Dec 11, 2010 | 3 | 11:03 | Defensive | Sidney Crosby |
| Dec 11, 2010 | 3 | 03:30 | Defensive | Sidney Crosby |
| Dec 11, 2010 | 2 | 05:18 | Defensive | Sidney Crosby |
| Dec 11, 2010 | 1 | 00:00 | Neutral | Derek Roy |
| Nov 24, 2010 | 3 | 16:41 | Offensive | Derek Roy |
| Nov 24, 2010 | 2 | 18:20 | Offensive | Derek Roy |
| Nov 24, 2010 | 2 | 06:48 | Offensive | Derek Roy |
| Nov 24, 2010 | 1 | 17:17 | Defensive | Derek Roy |
| Nov 24, 2010 | 1 | 11:57 | Offensive | Derek Roy |
| Nov 24, 2010 | 1 | 11:52 | Offensive | Derek Roy |