Scouting Report
These two are closely matched in overall FO% (55.3% vs 55.7%). Look for Crosby on offensive-zone draws (100% H2H, 3 meetings). Lindholm wins 57.8% vs left-shot opponents — Crosby shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Lindholm 54.8% vs Crosby 55.3% (-0.4%)
H2H factor
Not applied (7 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Crosby 56.7%
Defensive zone
Lindholm 71.6%
Neutral zone
Lindholm 54.3%
Result
Elias Lindholm favored at 52.1%
52.1%
47.9%
Lindholm
Crosby
Head-to-Head Record
2
-
5
(7 meetings)
2
5
Lindholm
Crosby
Last 7: Lindholm 2-5 Crosby
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Crosby
0
3
Lindholm
Crosby
3 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Lindholm
1
0
Lindholm
Crosby
1 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Crosby
1
2
Lindholm
Crosby
3 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Lindholm
Crosby
Edge
Even Strength
54.4% (722)
53.5% (961)
+0.9%
Power Play
62.2% (164)
64.1% (237)
-1.9%
Penalty Kill
49.4% (83)
64.3% (14)
-14.9%
On penalty kill, Crosby has a +14.9% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Crosby shoots left. Lindholm is 57.8% vs left-shot opponents (699).
Lindholm shoots right. Crosby is 58.1% vs right-shot opponents (356).
Home / Away
Lindholm
Crosby
Home
55.8% (541)
56.4% (622)
Away
54.7% (428)
54.9% (590)
By Period
Lindholm
Crosby
P1
54.8%
56.0%
P2
55.7%
52.6%
P3
55.6%
58.3%
OT
0.0%
54.2%
Final 5 min
53.8%
55.8%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Lindholm
58.0%▬
58.5%
55.3%
Crosby
64.0%▲
53.5%
55.7%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jan 11, 2026 | 3 | 19:53 | Defensive | Elias Lindholm |
| Jan 11, 2026 | 3 | 19:35 | Offensive | Sidney Crosby |
| Jan 11, 2026 | 3 | 19:10 | Neutral | Elias Lindholm |
| Jan 11, 2026 | 3 | 18:36 | Neutral | Sidney Crosby |
| Jan 11, 2026 | 3 | 14:41 | Offensive | Sidney Crosby |
| Jan 11, 2026 | 2 | 11:36 | Offensive | Sidney Crosby |
| Jan 11, 2026 | 1 | 17:33 | Neutral | Sidney Crosby |