Scouting Report
Sidney Crosby holds a +4.9% FO% edge overall. Look for Crosby on offensive-zone draws (100% H2H, 6 meetings). Nielsen wins 45.6% vs left-shot opponents — Crosby shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Nielsen 45.6% vs Crosby 50.1% (-4.9%)
H2H factor
Crosby leads 11-3 in 14 meetings
Offensive zone
Nielsen 68.2%
Defensive zone
Nielsen 92.3%
Neutral zone
Nielsen 78.7%
Result
Frans Nielsen favored at 79.1%
79.1%
20.9%
Nielsen
Crosby
Head-to-Head Record
3
-
11
(14 meetings)
3
11
Nielsen
Crosby
Last 10: Nielsen 3-7 Crosby
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Crosby
0
6
Nielsen
Crosby
6 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Nielsen
3
2
Nielsen
Crosby
5 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Crosby
0
3
Nielsen
Crosby
3 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Nielsen
Crosby
Edge
Even Strength
45.6% (906)
49.3% (335)
-3.7%
Power Play
62.2% (45)
54.7% (106)
+7.5%
Penalty Kill
39.6% (192)
28.6% (7)
+11.0%
On penalty kill, Nielsen has a +11.0% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Crosby shoots left. Nielsen is 45.6% vs left-shot opponents (783).
Nielsen shoots left. Crosby is 49.2% vs left-shot opponents (295).
Home / Away
Nielsen
Crosby
Home
45.6% (581)
57.1% (240)
Away
44.9% (575)
42.3% (213)
By Period
Nielsen
Crosby
P1
47.0%
55.0%
P2
44.0%
46.3%
P3
44.9%
50.0%
OT
42.9%
33.3%
Final 5 min
48.6%
57.1%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Nielsen
50.0%▬
50.0%
45.2%
Crosby
64.0%▲
54.5%
50.1%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 29, 2012 | 3 | 06:09 | Defensive | Frans Nielsen |
| Mar 29, 2012 | 2 | 17:15 | Offensive | Sidney Crosby |
| Mar 29, 2012 | 1 | 14:20 | Offensive | Sidney Crosby |
| Mar 27, 2012 | 3 | 19:08 | Defensive | Sidney Crosby |
| Mar 27, 2012 | 3 | 14:12 | Defensive | Frans Nielsen |
| Mar 27, 2012 | 3 | 00:00 | Neutral | Sidney Crosby |
| Mar 27, 2012 | 2 | 18:08 | Neutral | Sidney Crosby |
| Mar 27, 2012 | 1 | 19:24 | Defensive | Frans Nielsen |
| Mar 27, 2012 | 1 | 17:35 | Offensive | Sidney Crosby |
| Nov 21, 2011 | 2 | 10:16 | Defensive | Sidney Crosby |
| Nov 21, 2011 | 2 | 03:04 | Offensive | Sidney Crosby |
| Nov 21, 2011 | 2 | 00:00 | Neutral | Sidney Crosby |
| Nov 21, 2011 | 1 | 19:29 | Offensive | Sidney Crosby |
| Nov 21, 2011 | 1 | 16:53 | Offensive | Sidney Crosby |