Scouting Report
Sidney Crosby holds a +6.3% FO% edge overall. Look for Crosby on offensive-zone draws (88% H2H, 8 meetings). Nielsen wins 45.7% vs left-shot opponents — Crosby shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Nielsen 48.3% vs Crosby 53.9% (-6.3%)
H2H factor
Crosby leads 19-9 in 28 meetings
Offensive zone
Nielsen 85.9%
Defensive zone
Nielsen 92.6%
Neutral zone
Nielsen 82.5%
Result
Frans Nielsen favored at 86.3%
86.3%
13.7%
Nielsen
Crosby
Head-to-Head Record
9
-
19
(28 meetings)
9
19
Nielsen
Crosby
Last 10: Nielsen 3-7 Crosby
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Crosby
1
7
Nielsen
Crosby
8 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Crosby
3
5
Nielsen
Crosby
8 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Crosby
5
7
Nielsen
Crosby
12 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Nielsen
Crosby
Edge
Even Strength
50.0% (392)
52.4% (594)
-2.4%
Power Play
65.0% (20)
57.9% (178)
+7.1%
Penalty Kill
40.4% (146)
62.9% (62)
-22.5%
On penalty kill, Crosby has a +22.5% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Crosby shoots left. Nielsen is 45.7% vs left-shot opponents (293).
Nielsen shoots left. Crosby is 54.3% vs left-shot opponents (440).
Home / Away
Nielsen
Crosby
Home
48.9% (274)
54.6% (421)
Away
47.2% (284)
54.0% (413)
By Period
Nielsen
Crosby
P1
47.9%
56.3%
P2
49.7%
52.5%
P3
46.3%
54.6%
OT
50.0%
37.5%
Final 5 min
47.2%
50.9%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Nielsen
50.0%▬
50.0%
48.0%
Crosby
64.0%▲
54.5%
54.3%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 22, 2013 | 3 | 11:55 | Defensive | Sidney Crosby |
| Mar 22, 2013 | 3 | 00:00 | Neutral | Sidney Crosby |
| Mar 22, 2013 | 2 | 10:02 | Neutral | Frans Nielsen |
| Mar 22, 2013 | 2 | 00:00 | Neutral | Sidney Crosby |
| Mar 22, 2013 | 1 | 19:04 | Offensive | Sidney Crosby |
| Mar 22, 2013 | 1 | 00:00 | Neutral | Sidney Crosby |
| Mar 10, 2013 | 3 | 11:31 | Defensive | Sidney Crosby |
| Mar 10, 2013 | 3 | 11:22 | Defensive | Frans Nielsen |
| Mar 10, 2013 | 3 | 03:21 | Neutral | Frans Nielsen |
| Mar 10, 2013 | 1 | 16:17 | Offensive | Sidney Crosby |
| Mar 10, 2013 | 1 | 12:41 | Offensive | Sidney Crosby |
| Mar 10, 2013 | 1 | 06:42 | Offensive | Sidney Crosby |
| Feb 5, 2013 | 3 | 06:01 | Defensive | Frans Nielsen |
| Feb 5, 2013 | 3 | 00:00 | Neutral | Frans Nielsen |
| Feb 5, 2013 | 2 | 07:38 | Neutral | Frans Nielsen |
| Feb 5, 2013 | 1 | 04:52 | Defensive | Sidney Crosby |
| Feb 5, 2013 | 1 | 02:52 | Offensive | Sidney Crosby |
| Feb 5, 2013 | 1 | 00:00 | Neutral | Sidney Crosby |
| Jan 29, 2013 | 3 | 06:04 | Offensive | Sidney Crosby |
| Jan 29, 2013 | 3 | 05:51 | Offensive | Frans Nielsen |