Scouting Report
Sidney Crosby holds a +4.1% FO% edge overall. Look for Crosby on offensive-zone draws (100% H2H, 5 meetings). Evans wins 54.1% vs left-shot opponents — Crosby shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Evans 52.6% vs Crosby 56.6% (-4.1%)
H2H factor
Crosby leads 9-3 in 12 meetings
Offensive zone
Crosby 62.7%
Defensive zone
Evans 93.7%
Neutral zone
Evans 65.5%
Result
Jake Evans favored at 63.1%
63.1%
36.9%
Evans
Crosby
Head-to-Head Record
3
-
9
(12 meetings)
3
9
Evans
Crosby
Last 10: Evans 3-7 Crosby
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Crosby
0
5
Evans
Crosby
5 total
Defensive Zone
Even
2
2
Evans
Crosby
4 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Crosby
1
2
Evans
Crosby
3 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Evans
Crosby
Edge
Even Strength
54.4% (824)
56.2% (1,451)
-1.8%
Power Play
66.7% (9)
61.4% (293)
+5.3%
Penalty Kill
48.1% (289)
55.3% (38)
-7.2%
On penalty kill, Crosby has a +7.2% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Crosby shoots left. Evans is 54.1% vs left-shot opponents (838).
Evans shoots right. Crosby is 57.4% vs right-shot opponents (618).
Home / Away
Evans
Crosby
Home
55.1% (541)
59.1% (939)
Away
50.8% (581)
54.7% (843)
By Period
Evans
Crosby
P1
51.8%
54.9%
P2
53.3%
60.8%
P3
53.8%
55.4%
OT
38.5%
53.6%
Final 5 min
51.1%
56.7%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Evans
54.0%▼
60.5%
52.9%
Crosby
64.0%▲
54.5%
57.0%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Dec 12, 2024 | 3 | 01:11 | Defensive | Jake Evans |
| Dec 12, 2024 | 2 | 09:38 | Offensive | Sidney Crosby |
| Dec 12, 2024 | 1 | 03:47 | Offensive | Sidney Crosby |
| Nov 2, 2024 | 3 | 05:32 | Neutral | Jake Evans |
| Nov 2, 2024 | 3 | 02:57 | Neutral | Sidney Crosby |
| Nov 2, 2024 | 2 | 02:28 | Offensive | Sidney Crosby |
| Nov 2, 2024 | 1 | 08:39 | Defensive | Jake Evans |
| Oct 14, 2024 | 2 | 17:41 | Defensive | Sidney Crosby |
| Oct 14, 2024 | 2 | 14:45 | Offensive | Sidney Crosby |
| Oct 14, 2024 | 2 | 02:51 | Neutral | Sidney Crosby |
| Oct 14, 2024 | 1 | 18:19 | Offensive | Sidney Crosby |
| Oct 14, 2024 | 1 | 05:22 | Defensive | Sidney Crosby |