Scouting Report
Sidney Crosby holds a +1.3% FO% edge overall. Look for Crosby on offensive-zone draws (88% H2H, 24 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Evans 52.2% vs Crosby 53.5% (-1.3%)
H2H factor
Crosby leads 35-20 in 55 meetings
Offensive zone
Crosby 69.0%
Defensive zone
Evans 90.9%
Neutral zone
Evans 72.3%
Result
Jake Evans favored at 59.4%
59.4%
40.6%
Evans
Crosby
Head-to-Head Record
20
-
35
(55 meetings)
20
35
Evans
Crosby
Last 10: Evans 4-6 Crosby
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Crosby
3
21
Evans
Crosby
24 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Evans
11
4
Evans
Crosby
15 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Crosby
6
10
Evans
Crosby
16 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Evans
Crosby
Edge
Even Strength
53.8% (3,695)
52.8% (17,990)
+1.0%
Power Play
60.0% (70)
57.4% (4,733)
+2.6%
Penalty Kill
47.1% (1,222)
47.1% (765)
+0.0%
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Crosby shoots left. Evans is 52.1% vs left-shot opponents (3,695).
Evans shoots right. Crosby is 53.9% vs right-shot opponents (8,656).
Home / Away
Evans
Crosby
Home
53.4% (2,593)
55.0% (11,972)
Away
51.0% (2,394)
52.0% (11,535)
By Period
Evans
Crosby
P1
54.0%
53.6%
P2
50.9%
53.9%
P3
52.0%
53.3%
OT
46.5%
49.6%
Final 5 min
50.4%
52.4%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Evans
54.0%▼
60.5%
52.2%
Crosby
64.0%▲
54.5%
53.5%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Dec 20, 2025 | 1 | 02:04 | Defensive | Jake Evans |
| Dec 20, 2025 | 1 | 00:00 | Neutral | Sidney Crosby |
| Dec 12, 2024 | 3 | 01:11 | Defensive | Jake Evans |
| Dec 12, 2024 | 2 | 09:38 | Offensive | Sidney Crosby |
| Dec 12, 2024 | 1 | 03:47 | Offensive | Sidney Crosby |
| Nov 2, 2024 | 3 | 05:32 | Neutral | Jake Evans |
| Nov 2, 2024 | 3 | 02:57 | Neutral | Sidney Crosby |
| Nov 2, 2024 | 2 | 02:28 | Offensive | Sidney Crosby |
| Nov 2, 2024 | 1 | 08:39 | Defensive | Jake Evans |
| Oct 14, 2024 | 2 | 17:41 | Defensive | Sidney Crosby |
| Oct 14, 2024 | 2 | 14:45 | Offensive | Sidney Crosby |
| Oct 14, 2024 | 2 | 02:51 | Neutral | Sidney Crosby |
| Oct 14, 2024 | 1 | 18:19 | Offensive | Sidney Crosby |
| Oct 14, 2024 | 1 | 05:22 | Defensive | Sidney Crosby |
| Feb 22, 2024 | 3 | 03:06 | Defensive | Jake Evans |
| Feb 22, 2024 | 2 | 13:09 | Defensive | Jake Evans |
| Feb 22, 2024 | 1 | 19:05 | Offensive | Sidney Crosby |
| Jan 27, 2024 | 3 | 04:29 | Neutral | Sidney Crosby |
| Jan 27, 2024 | 3 | 02:22 | Offensive | Sidney Crosby |
| Jan 27, 2024 | 1 | 09:19 | Offensive | Sidney Crosby |