Scouting Report
Sidney Crosby holds a +10.9% FO% edge overall. Look for Guentzel on offensive-zone draws (80% H2H, 5 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Guentzel 46.9% vs Crosby 56.6% (-10.9%)
H2H factor
Not applied (8 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Guentzel 54.5%
Defensive zone
Crosby 66.9%
Neutral zone
Crosby 52.6%
Result
Sidney Crosby favored at 51.8%
48.2%
51.8%
Guentzel
Crosby
Head-to-Head Record
4
-
4
(8 meetings)
4
4
Guentzel
Crosby
Last 8: Guentzel 4-4 Crosby
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Guentzel
4
1
Guentzel
Crosby
5 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Crosby
0
2
Guentzel
Crosby
2 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Crosby
0
1
Guentzel
Crosby
1 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Guentzel
Crosby
Edge
Even Strength
46.1% (256)
56.2% (1,451)
-10.1%
Power Play
47.5% (122)
61.4% (293)
-13.9%
Penalty Kill
16.7% (6)
55.3% (38)
-38.6%
On penalty kill, Crosby has a +38.6% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Crosby shoots left. Guentzel is 47.6% vs left-shot opponents (248).
Guentzel shoots left. Crosby is 56.8% vs left-shot opponents (1,164).
Home / Away
Guentzel
Crosby
Home
49.3% (201)
59.1% (939)
Away
42.6% (183)
54.7% (843)
By Period
Guentzel
Crosby
P1
49.6%
54.9%
P2
45.6%
60.8%
P3
41.6%
55.4%
OT
100.0%
53.6%
Final 5 min
44.7%
56.7%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Guentzel
44.0%▬
43.5%
46.1%
Crosby
64.0%▲
54.5%
57.0%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 25, 2025 | 2 | 17:45 | Defensive | Sidney Crosby |
| Mar 25, 2025 | 2 | 03:53 | Offensive | Sidney Crosby |
| Jan 12, 2025 | 3 | 00:34 | Offensive | Jake Guentzel |
| Jan 12, 2025 | 2 | 18:52 | Offensive | Jake Guentzel |
| Nov 19, 2024 | 2 | 10:50 | Neutral | Sidney Crosby |
| Nov 19, 2024 | 2 | 04:56 | Offensive | Jake Guentzel |
| Nov 19, 2024 | 1 | 03:56 | Offensive | Jake Guentzel |
| Nov 19, 2024 | 1 | 01:12 | Defensive | Sidney Crosby |