Scouting Report
Jason Spezza holds a +2.8% FO% edge overall. Look for Crosby on defensive-zone draws (60% H2H, 5 meetings). Spezza wins 61.7% vs left-shot opponents — Crosby shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Spezza 53.9% vs Crosby 53.9% (+2.8%)
H2H factor
Not applied (8 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Crosby 59.2%
Defensive zone
Crosby 60.3%
Neutral zone
Crosby 59.4%
Result
Sidney Crosby favored at 59.9%
40.1%
59.9%
Spezza
Crosby
Head-to-Head Record
5
-
3
(8 meetings)
5
3
Spezza
Crosby
Last 8: Spezza 5-3 Crosby
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Spezza
2
0
Spezza
Crosby
2 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Crosby
2
3
Spezza
Crosby
5 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Spezza
1
0
Spezza
Crosby
1 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Spezza
Crosby
Edge
Even Strength
54.5% (88)
52.4% (594)
+2.1%
Power Play
75.0% (16)
57.9% (178)
+17.1%
Penalty Kill
53.3% (15)
62.9% (62)
-9.6%
On power play, Spezza has a +17.1% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Crosby shoots left. Spezza is 61.7% vs left-shot opponents (60).
Spezza shoots right. Crosby is 54.3% vs right-shot opponents (394).
Home / Away
Spezza
Crosby
Home
62.2% (45)
54.6% (421)
Away
54.1% (74)
54.0% (413)
By Period
Spezza
Crosby
P1
58.7%
56.3%
P2
64.1%
52.5%
P3
46.9%
54.6%
OT
50.0%
37.5%
Final 5 min
50.0%
50.9%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Spezza
46.0%▼
48.5%
57.1%
Crosby
64.0%▲
54.5%
54.3%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jan 27, 2013 | OT | 00:28 | Offensive | Jason Spezza |
| Jan 27, 2013 | 3 | 12:55 | Defensive | Sidney Crosby |
| Jan 27, 2013 | 3 | 09:31 | Defensive | Sidney Crosby |
| Jan 27, 2013 | 3 | 09:28 | Offensive | Jason Spezza |
| Jan 27, 2013 | 3 | 02:55 | Defensive | Jason Spezza |
| Jan 27, 2013 | 2 | 17:42 | Defensive | Jason Spezza |
| Jan 27, 2013 | 2 | 08:49 | Defensive | Sidney Crosby |
| Jan 27, 2013 | 2 | 00:00 | Neutral | Jason Spezza |