Scouting Report
Sidney Crosby holds a +11.3% FO% edge overall. Look for Crosby on neutral-zone draws (100% H2H, 3 meetings). Bailey wins 44.0% vs left-shot opponents — Crosby shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Bailey 45.2% vs Crosby 55.1% (-11.3%)
H2H factor
Not applied (5 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Bailey 83.3%
Defensive zone
Bailey 77.0%
Neutral zone
Bailey 82.5%
Result
Josh Bailey favored at 81.5%
81.5%
18.5%
Bailey
Crosby
Head-to-Head Record
1
-
4
(5 meetings)
1
4
Bailey
Crosby
Last 5: Bailey 1-4 Crosby
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Bailey
1
0
Bailey
Crosby
1 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Crosby
0
1
Bailey
Crosby
1 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Crosby
0
3
Bailey
Crosby
3 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Bailey
Crosby
Edge
Even Strength
44.2% (441)
55.1% (648)
-10.9%
Power Play
48.1% (81)
58.6% (256)
-10.5%
Penalty Kill
41.7% (84)
47.6% (63)
-5.9%
On even strength, Crosby has a +10.9% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Crosby shoots left. Bailey is 44.0% vs left-shot opponents (386).
Bailey shoots left. Crosby is 56.0% vs left-shot opponents (620).
Home / Away
Bailey
Crosby
Home
43.1% (295)
57.1% (552)
Away
45.6% (320)
53.8% (429)
By Period
Bailey
Crosby
P1
46.5%
60.3%
P2
45.7%
55.8%
P3
41.3%
50.8%
OT
38.5%
54.5%
Final 5 min
44.7%
52.2%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Bailey
42.0%▬
41.0%
44.4%
Crosby
64.0%▲
54.5%
55.7%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Dec 29, 2010 | 2 | 14:25 | Neutral | Sidney Crosby |
| Oct 15, 2010 | 3 | 13:34 | Defensive | Sidney Crosby |
| Oct 15, 2010 | 3 | 01:25 | Neutral | Sidney Crosby |
| Oct 15, 2010 | 2 | 01:12 | Neutral | Sidney Crosby |
| Oct 15, 2010 | 1 | 07:54 | Offensive | Josh Bailey |