Scouting Report
Sidney Crosby holds a +7.6% FO% edge overall. Bailey wins 41.7% vs left-shot opponents — Crosby shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Bailey 48.6% vs Crosby 53.9% (-7.6%)
H2H factor
Not applied (3 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Crosby 71.8%
Defensive zone
Crosby 59.9%
Neutral zone
Crosby 66.2%
Result
Sidney Crosby favored at 63.9%
36.1%
63.9%
Bailey
Crosby
Head-to-Head Record
2
-
1
(3 meetings)
2
1
Bailey
Crosby
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Crosby
0
1
Bailey
Crosby
1 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Bailey
2
0
Bailey
Crosby
2 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Bailey
Crosby
Edge
Even Strength
51.8% (56)
52.4% (594)
-0.6%
Power Play
0.0% (1)
57.9% (178)
-57.9%
Penalty Kill
33.3% (18)
62.9% (62)
-29.6%
On power play, Crosby has a +57.9% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Crosby shoots left. Bailey is 41.7% vs left-shot opponents (24).
Bailey shoots left. Crosby is 54.3% vs left-shot opponents (440).
Home / Away
Bailey
Crosby
Home
53.5% (43)
54.6% (421)
Away
37.5% (32)
54.0% (413)
By Period
Bailey
Crosby
P1
33.3%
56.3%
P2
60.0%
52.5%
P3
44.8%
54.6%
OT
60.0%
37.5%
Final 5 min
43.5%
50.9%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Bailey
42.0%▬
41.0%
46.7%
Crosby
36.0%▼
52.5%
54.3%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 10, 2013 | 2 | 05:05 | Defensive | Josh Bailey |
| Mar 10, 2013 | 2 | 04:59 | Defensive | Josh Bailey |
| Mar 10, 2013 | 2 | 04:55 | Offensive | Sidney Crosby |