Scouting Report
These two are closely matched in overall FO% (51.4% vs 51.7%). Look for Spaling on defensive-zone draws (100% H2H, 4 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Spaling 51.2% vs Crosby 51.6% (-0.3%)
H2H factor
Not applied (9 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Crosby 80.4%
Defensive zone
Spaling 71.0%
Neutral zone
Crosby 51.6%
Result
Sidney Crosby favored at 51.2%
48.8%
51.2%
Spaling
Crosby
Head-to-Head Record
7
-
2
(9 meetings)
7
2
Spaling
Crosby
Last 9: Spaling 7-2 Crosby
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Spaling
2
1
Spaling
Crosby
3 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Spaling
4
0
Spaling
Crosby
4 total
Neutral Zone
Even
1
1
Spaling
Crosby
2 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Spaling
Crosby
Edge
Even Strength
52.5% (461)
51.9% (1,456)
+0.6%
Power Play
66.7% (9)
52.8% (392)
+13.9%
Penalty Kill
46.6% (131)
39.0% (59)
+7.6%
On power play, Spaling has a +13.9% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Crosby shoots left. Spaling is 52.5% vs left-shot opponents (356).
Spaling shoots left. Crosby is 51.1% vs left-shot opponents (1,186).
Home / Away
Spaling
Crosby
Home
57.2% (297)
52.4% (976)
Away
45.7% (304)
51.0% (931)
By Period
Spaling
Crosby
P1
54.2%
51.6%
P2
46.6%
53.1%
P3
54.3%
51.0%
OT
25.0%
40.5%
Final 5 min
56.1%
48.3%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Spaling
58.0%▲
53.0%
51.4%
Crosby
64.0%▲
54.5%
51.7%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 17, 2015 | 3 | 18:45 | Defensive | Nick Spaling |
| Oct 17, 2015 | 3 | 10:05 | Defensive | Nick Spaling |
| Oct 17, 2015 | 3 | 09:58 | Offensive | Nick Spaling |
| Oct 17, 2015 | 3 | 06:37 | Defensive | Nick Spaling |
| Oct 17, 2015 | 2 | 17:44 | Defensive | Nick Spaling |
| Oct 17, 2015 | 2 | 15:28 | Offensive | Nick Spaling |
| Oct 17, 2015 | 1 | 13:09 | Neutral | Sidney Crosby |
| Oct 17, 2015 | 1 | 10:38 | Offensive | Sidney Crosby |
| Oct 17, 2015 | 1 | 00:00 | Neutral | Nick Spaling |