Scouting Report
Sidney Crosby holds a +5.1% FO% edge overall. Look for Crosby on offensive-zone draws (100% H2H, 3 meetings). Greig wins 44.3% vs left-shot opponents — Crosby shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Greig 50.6% vs Crosby 55.5% (-5.1%)
H2H factor
Crosby leads 6-4 in 10 meetings
Offensive zone
Crosby 68.9%
Defensive zone
Greig 88.5%
Neutral zone
Greig 61.5%
Result
Ridly Greig favored at 60.5%
60.5%
39.5%
Greig
Crosby
Head-to-Head Record
4
-
6
(10 meetings)
4
6
Greig
Crosby
Last 10: Greig 4-6 Crosby
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Crosby
0
3
Greig
Crosby
3 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Greig
2
1
Greig
Crosby
3 total
Neutral Zone
Even
2
2
Greig
Crosby
4 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Greig
Crosby
Edge
Even Strength
51.5% (336)
53.7% (984)
-2.2%
Power Play
66.7% (24)
64.7% (241)
+2.0%
Penalty Kill
43.2% (81)
64.3% (14)
-21.1%
On penalty kill, Crosby has a +21.1% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Crosby shoots left. Greig is 44.3% vs left-shot opponents (230).
Greig shoots left. Crosby is 55.1% vs left-shot opponents (879).
Home / Away
Greig
Crosby
Home
50.2% (247)
56.9% (649)
Away
51.5% (194)
54.9% (590)
By Period
Greig
Crosby
P1
46.9%
55.8%
P2
58.8%
53.2%
P3
48.3%
58.7%
OT
0.0%
54.2%
Final 5 min
55.2%
55.7%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Greig
52.0%▲
48.5%
50.8%
Crosby
64.0%▲
54.5%
55.9%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Feb 2, 2026 | 3 | 18:59 | Offensive | Sidney Crosby |
| Feb 2, 2026 | 3 | 18:40 | Offensive | Sidney Crosby |
| Feb 2, 2026 | 3 | 11:10 | Defensive | Sidney Crosby |
| Feb 2, 2026 | 3 | 02:30 | Defensive | Ridly Greig |
| Feb 2, 2026 | 3 | 02:08 | Neutral | Ridly Greig |
| Dec 18, 2025 | 3 | 12:58 | Offensive | Sidney Crosby |
| Dec 18, 2025 | 3 | 00:00 | Neutral | Ridly Greig |
| Dec 18, 2025 | 2 | 18:52 | Neutral | Sidney Crosby |
| Dec 18, 2025 | 1 | 08:13 | Defensive | Ridly Greig |
| Dec 18, 2025 | 1 | 00:00 | Neutral | Sidney Crosby |