Scouting Report
Sidney Crosby holds a +6.6% FO% edge overall. Look for Crosby on offensive-zone draws (67% H2H, 3 meetings). Colton wins 53.4% vs left-shot opponents — Crosby shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Colton 51.4% vs Crosby 57.8% (-6.6%)
H2H factor
Not applied (6 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Crosby 60.1%
Defensive zone
Colton 86.4%
Neutral zone
Colton 67.8%
Result
Ross Colton favored at 56.9%
56.9%
43.1%
Colton
Crosby
Head-to-Head Record
2
-
4
(6 meetings)
2
4
Colton
Crosby
Last 6: Colton 2-4 Crosby
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Crosby
1
2
Colton
Crosby
3 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Colton
1
0
Colton
Crosby
1 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Crosby
0
2
Colton
Crosby
2 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Colton
Crosby
Edge
Even Strength
52.1% (741)
57.8% (1,437)
-5.7%
Power Play
48.3% (60)
60.9% (381)
-12.6%
Penalty Kill
42.1% (19)
50.0% (54)
-7.9%
On power play, Crosby has a +12.6% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Crosby shoots left. Colton is 53.4% vs left-shot opponents (551).
Colton shoots left. Crosby is 57.6% vs left-shot opponents (1,257).
Home / Away
Colton
Crosby
Home
54.0% (411)
59.2% (985)
Away
49.1% (409)
57.2% (887)
By Period
Colton
Crosby
P1
56.7%
57.3%
P2
53.1%
59.5%
P3
46.3%
58.5%
OT
0.0%
40.0%
Final 5 min
44.0%
59.7%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Colton
44.0%▲
42.5%
51.6%
Crosby
64.0%▲
54.5%
58.2%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 24, 2024 | 2 | 18:06 | Defensive | Ross Colton |
| Mar 24, 2024 | 2 | 15:40 | Neutral | Sidney Crosby |
| Oct 26, 2023 | 2 | 14:51 | Offensive | Sidney Crosby |
| Oct 26, 2023 | 2 | 10:25 | Offensive | Ross Colton |
| Oct 26, 2023 | 2 | 04:56 | Offensive | Sidney Crosby |
| Oct 26, 2023 | 1 | 08:46 | Neutral | Sidney Crosby |