Scouting Report
These two are closely matched in overall FO% (53.3% vs 53.0%). Look for Kesler on defensive-zone draws (83% H2H, 6 meetings). Kesler wins 54.5% vs left-shot opponents — Crosby shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Kesler 52.9% vs Crosby 52.9% (+0.3%)
H2H factor
Kesler leads 10-5 in 15 meetings
Offensive zone
Crosby 75.5%
Defensive zone
Kesler 77.7%
Neutral zone
Crosby 55.4%
Result
Ryan Kesler favored at 52.5%
52.5%
47.5%
Kesler
Crosby
Head-to-Head Record
10
-
5
(15 meetings)
10
5
Kesler
Crosby
Last 10: Kesler 5-5 Crosby
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Crosby
1
3
Kesler
Crosby
4 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Kesler
5
1
Kesler
Crosby
6 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Kesler
4
1
Kesler
Crosby
5 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Kesler
Crosby
Edge
Even Strength
55.2% (567)
52.5% (1,479)
+2.7%
Power Play
54.9% (51)
55.7% (397)
-0.8%
Penalty Kill
45.0% (131)
47.5% (59)
-2.5%
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Crosby shoots left. Kesler is 54.5% vs left-shot opponents (516).
Kesler shoots right. Crosby is 54.9% vs right-shot opponents (736).
Home / Away
Kesler
Crosby
Home
55.7% (388)
54.9% (993)
Away
50.8% (362)
51.1% (942)
By Period
Kesler
Crosby
P1
56.3%
52.2%
P2
52.5%
53.2%
P3
52.6%
53.4%
OT
35.3%
59.1%
Final 5 min
60.1%
49.5%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Kesler
50.0%▼
54.5%
53.3%
Crosby
64.0%▲
54.5%
53.0%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jan 17, 2018 | 3 | 18:06 | Offensive | Sidney Crosby |
| Jan 17, 2018 | 3 | 17:49 | Neutral | Ryan Kesler |
| Jan 17, 2018 | 3 | 13:33 | Defensive | Sidney Crosby |
| Jan 17, 2018 | 3 | 08:09 | Offensive | Sidney Crosby |
| Jan 17, 2018 | 2 | 19:17 | Offensive | Ryan Kesler |
| Jan 17, 2018 | 2 | 08:15 | Defensive | Ryan Kesler |
| Jan 17, 2018 | 2 | 06:33 | Neutral | Sidney Crosby |
| Jan 17, 2018 | 2 | 04:42 | Defensive | Ryan Kesler |
| Jan 17, 2018 | 2 | 04:37 | Offensive | Sidney Crosby |
| Jan 17, 2018 | 2 | 04:17 | Neutral | Ryan Kesler |
| Jan 17, 2018 | 2 | 00:36 | Neutral | Ryan Kesler |
| Jan 17, 2018 | 2 | 00:22 | Defensive | Ryan Kesler |
| Jan 17, 2018 | 1 | 10:04 | Defensive | Ryan Kesler |
| Jan 17, 2018 | 1 | 08:32 | Defensive | Ryan Kesler |
| Jan 17, 2018 | 1 | 03:46 | Neutral | Ryan Kesler |