Scouting Report
Steve Ott holds a +2.0% FO% edge overall. Look for Crosby on offensive-zone draws (80% H2H, 15 meetings). Crosby wins 53.3% vs left-shot opponents — Ott shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Crosby 53.5% vs Ott 55.4% (-2.0%)
H2H factor
Crosby leads 20-16 in 36 meetings
Offensive zone
Crosby 82.5%
Defensive zone
Ott 82.7%
Neutral zone
Crosby 50.0%
Result
Steve Ott favored at 51.9%
48.1%
51.9%
Crosby
Ott
Head-to-Head Record
20
-
16
(36 meetings)
20
16
Crosby
Ott
Last 10: Crosby 2-8 Ott
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Crosby
12
3
Crosby
Ott
15 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Ott
7
10
Crosby
Ott
17 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Ott
1
3
Crosby
Ott
4 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Crosby
Ott
Edge
Even Strength
52.8% (17,990)
57.2% (2,802)
-4.4%
Power Play
57.4% (4,733)
55.4% (567)
+2.0%
Penalty Kill
47.1% (765)
49.9% (853)
-2.8%
On even strength, Ott has a +4.4% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Ott shoots left. Crosby is 53.3% vs left-shot opponents (14,851).
Crosby shoots left. Ott is 54.1% vs left-shot opponents (2,552).
Home / Away
Crosby
Ott
Home
55.0% (11,972)
56.8% (2,130)
Away
52.0% (11,535)
54.2% (2,103)
By Period
Crosby
Ott
P1
53.6%
56.7%
P2
53.9%
53.9%
P3
53.3%
55.7%
OT
49.6%
60.8%
Final 5 min
52.4%
56.2%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Crosby
64.0%▲
54.5%
53.5%
Ott
60.0%▲
53.0%
55.5%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Feb 19, 2017 | 3 | 19:00 | Defensive | Steve Ott |
| Feb 19, 2017 | 3 | 15:11 | Defensive | Steve Ott |
| Feb 19, 2017 | 2 | 16:27 | Neutral | Steve Ott |
| Dec 3, 2016 | 2 | 06:33 | Offensive | Sidney Crosby |
| Dec 3, 2016 | 2 | 05:53 | Offensive | Sidney Crosby |
| Nov 25, 2015 | 1 | 18:30 | Defensive | Steve Ott |
| Nov 25, 2015 | 1 | 02:10 | Defensive | Steve Ott |
| Mar 24, 2015 | 2 | 18:33 | Defensive | Steve Ott |
| Mar 23, 2014 | 2 | 06:37 | Offensive | Steve Ott |
| Feb 5, 2014 | 2 | 10:34 | Neutral | Steve Ott |
| Feb 5, 2014 | 2 | 04:17 | Defensive | Steve Ott |
| Feb 5, 2014 | 2 | 04:08 | Offensive | Sidney Crosby |
| Feb 5, 2014 | 1 | 17:38 | Defensive | Sidney Crosby |
| Feb 5, 2014 | 1 | 04:12 | Offensive | Sidney Crosby |
| Feb 5, 2014 | 1 | 03:37 | Offensive | Sidney Crosby |
| Feb 5, 2014 | 1 | 03:14 | Defensive | Steve Ott |
| Jan 27, 2014 | 3 | 18:39 | Defensive | Sidney Crosby |
| Jan 27, 2014 | 3 | 10:09 | Defensive | Sidney Crosby |
| Jan 27, 2014 | 2 | 18:27 | Offensive | Sidney Crosby |
| Jan 27, 2014 | 1 | 16:47 | Offensive | Steve Ott |