Scouting Report
Sidney Crosby holds a +1.1% FO% edge overall. Look for Crosby on offensive-zone draws (80% H2H, 5 meetings). Crosby wins 57.0% vs right-shot opponents — Bozak shoots right.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Crosby 55.1% vs Bozak 53.9% (+1.1%)
H2H factor
Not applied (8 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Crosby 72.8%
Defensive zone
Bozak 56.8%
Neutral zone
Crosby 53.4%
Result
Sidney Crosby favored at 61.7%
61.7%
38.3%
Crosby
Bozak
Head-to-Head Record
5
-
3
(8 meetings)
5
3
Crosby
Bozak
Last 8: Crosby 5-3 Bozak
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Crosby
4
1
Crosby
Bozak
5 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Bozak
1
2
Crosby
Bozak
3 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Crosby
Bozak
Edge
Even Strength
54.7% (1,423)
55.4% (719)
-0.7%
Power Play
62.1% (327)
45.1% (51)
+17.0%
Penalty Kill
40.8% (76)
50.0% (60)
-9.2%
On power play, Crosby has a +17.0% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Bozak shoots right. Crosby is 57.0% vs right-shot opponents (597).
Crosby shoots left. Bozak is 54.5% vs left-shot opponents (567).
Home / Away
Crosby
Bozak
Home
56.2% (907)
55.5% (443)
Away
54.6% (919)
53.0% (387)
By Period
Crosby
Bozak
P1
55.7%
53.3%
P2
55.0%
54.7%
P3
54.9%
55.4%
OT
70.4%
40.0%
Final 5 min
53.5%
55.1%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Crosby
64.0%▲
54.5%
55.4%
Bozak
46.0%▼
48.5%
54.3%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 16, 2019 | 3 | 17:01 | Offensive | Sidney Crosby |
| Mar 16, 2019 | 3 | 10:48 | Offensive | Sidney Crosby |
| Mar 16, 2019 | 2 | 01:21 | Offensive | Sidney Crosby |
| Mar 16, 2019 | 1 | 17:40 | Defensive | Tyler Bozak |
| Mar 16, 2019 | 1 | 10:20 | Defensive | Tyler Bozak |
| Mar 16, 2019 | 1 | 01:05 | Defensive | Sidney Crosby |
| Dec 29, 2018 | 3 | 11:16 | Offensive | Tyler Bozak |
| Dec 29, 2018 | 1 | 00:21 | Offensive | Sidney Crosby |