Scouting Report
These two are closely matched in overall FO% (53.5% vs 53.5%). Look for Crosby on offensive-zone draws (78% H2H, 55 meetings). Crosby wins 53.9% vs right-shot opponents — Bozak shoots right.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Crosby 53.5% vs Bozak 53.4% (+0.0%)
H2H factor
Crosby leads 90-58 in 148 meetings
Offensive zone
Crosby 76.3%
Defensive zone
Bozak 53.7%
Neutral zone
Crosby 66.3%
Result
Sidney Crosby favored at 63.4%
63.4%
36.6%
Crosby
Bozak
Head-to-Head Record
90
-
58
(148 meetings)
90
58
Crosby
Bozak
Last 10: Crosby 6-4 Bozak
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Crosby
43
12
Crosby
Bozak
55 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Bozak
20
29
Crosby
Bozak
49 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Crosby
27
17
Crosby
Bozak
44 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Crosby
Bozak
Edge
Even Strength
52.8% (17,990)
53.7% (9,596)
-0.9%
Power Play
57.4% (4,733)
55.2% (1,990)
+2.2%
Penalty Kill
47.1% (765)
48.0% (1,094)
-0.9%
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Bozak shoots right. Crosby is 53.9% vs right-shot opponents (8,656).
Crosby shoots left. Bozak is 52.2% vs left-shot opponents (8,417).
Home / Away
Crosby
Bozak
Home
55.0% (11,972)
56.0% (6,333)
Away
52.0% (11,535)
51.0% (6,396)
By Period
Crosby
Bozak
P1
53.6%
53.2%
P2
53.9%
52.8%
P3
53.3%
54.5%
OT
49.6%
52.9%
Final 5 min
52.4%
53.6%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Crosby
64.0%▲
54.5%
53.5%
Bozak
46.0%▼
48.5%
53.5%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jan 5, 2022 | 2 | 16:49 | Defensive | Tyler Bozak |
| Mar 16, 2019 | 3 | 17:01 | Offensive | Sidney Crosby |
| Mar 16, 2019 | 3 | 10:48 | Offensive | Sidney Crosby |
| Mar 16, 2019 | 2 | 01:21 | Offensive | Sidney Crosby |
| Mar 16, 2019 | 1 | 17:40 | Defensive | Tyler Bozak |
| Mar 16, 2019 | 1 | 10:20 | Defensive | Tyler Bozak |
| Mar 16, 2019 | 1 | 01:05 | Defensive | Sidney Crosby |
| Dec 29, 2018 | 3 | 11:16 | Offensive | Tyler Bozak |
| Dec 29, 2018 | 1 | 00:21 | Offensive | Sidney Crosby |
| Feb 17, 2018 | 3 | 18:12 | Defensive | Sidney Crosby |
| Feb 17, 2018 | 3 | 17:46 | Offensive | Tyler Bozak |
| Feb 17, 2018 | 1 | 19:42 | Offensive | Sidney Crosby |
| Feb 17, 2018 | 1 | 18:41 | Offensive | Tyler Bozak |
| Feb 17, 2018 | 1 | 16:32 | Defensive | Tyler Bozak |
| Dec 9, 2017 | 2 | 14:24 | Neutral | Sidney Crosby |
| Apr 8, 2017 | 3 | 06:29 | Defensive | Tyler Bozak |
| Apr 8, 2017 | 2 | 14:31 | Offensive | Sidney Crosby |
| Nov 12, 2016 | 3 | 15:25 | Defensive | Sidney Crosby |
| Nov 12, 2016 | 2 | 17:12 | Offensive | Sidney Crosby |
| Nov 12, 2016 | 2 | 15:33 | Offensive | Sidney Crosby |