Scouting Report
These two are closely matched in overall FO% (53.5% vs 53.6%). Look for Seguin on offensive-zone draws (59% H2H, 34 meetings). Crosby wins 53.9% vs right-shot opponents — Seguin shoots right.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Crosby 53.5% vs Seguin 53.6% (-0.1%)
H2H factor
Seguin leads 51-36 in 87 meetings
Offensive zone
Crosby 56.4%
Defensive zone
Seguin 77.3%
Neutral zone
Seguin 61.9%
Result
Tyler Seguin favored at 59.0%
41.0%
59.0%
Crosby
Seguin
Head-to-Head Record
36
-
51
(87 meetings)
36
51
Crosby
Seguin
Last 10: Crosby 3-7 Seguin
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Seguin
14
20
Crosby
Seguin
34 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Seguin
10
14
Crosby
Seguin
24 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Seguin
12
17
Crosby
Seguin
29 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Crosby
Seguin
Edge
Even Strength
52.8% (17,990)
53.7% (8,071)
-0.9%
Power Play
57.4% (4,733)
55.9% (810)
+1.5%
Penalty Kill
47.1% (765)
49.3% (762)
-2.2%
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Seguin shoots right. Crosby is 53.9% vs right-shot opponents (8,656).
Crosby shoots left. Seguin is 53.4% vs left-shot opponents (6,798).
Home / Away
Crosby
Seguin
Home
55.0% (11,972)
55.9% (4,759)
Away
52.0% (11,535)
51.4% (4,885)
By Period
Crosby
Seguin
P1
53.6%
52.8%
P2
53.9%
53.3%
P3
53.3%
54.7%
OT
49.6%
54.7%
Final 5 min
52.4%
54.3%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Crosby
64.0%▲
54.5%
53.5%
Seguin
42.0%▼
54.0%
53.6%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 11, 2024 | 3 | 06:40 | Defensive | Tyler Seguin |
| Nov 11, 2024 | 2 | 06:10 | Neutral | Tyler Seguin |
| Nov 11, 2024 | 2 | 06:02 | Defensive | Tyler Seguin |
| Mar 22, 2024 | 3 | 17:45 | Offensive | Sidney Crosby |
| Mar 22, 2024 | 3 | 17:08 | Defensive | Tyler Seguin |
| Mar 22, 2024 | 1 | 14:02 | Neutral | Tyler Seguin |
| Oct 24, 2023 | 2 | 12:41 | Defensive | Tyler Seguin |
| Oct 24, 2023 | 1 | 11:03 | Offensive | Sidney Crosby |
| Dec 12, 2022 | 3 | 19:42 | Offensive | Tyler Seguin |
| Dec 12, 2022 | 3 | 19:25 | Neutral | Sidney Crosby |
| Dec 12, 2022 | 2 | 16:36 | Offensive | Tyler Seguin |
| Jan 8, 2022 | 1 | 05:43 | Offensive | Tyler Seguin |
| Jan 8, 2022 | 1 | 05:38 | Offensive | Tyler Seguin |
| Oct 26, 2019 | 3 | 17:19 | Defensive | Sidney Crosby |
| Oct 26, 2019 | 3 | 15:32 | Offensive | Sidney Crosby |
| Oct 26, 2019 | 3 | 06:18 | Offensive | Sidney Crosby |
| Oct 26, 2019 | 3 | 05:14 | Offensive | Tyler Seguin |
| Oct 26, 2019 | 3 | 02:59 | Defensive | Sidney Crosby |
| Oct 26, 2019 | 3 | 02:47 | Offensive | Sidney Crosby |
| Oct 26, 2019 | 2 | 19:31 | Neutral | Tyler Seguin |