Scouting Report
Sidney Crosby holds a +1.9% FO% edge overall. Crosby wins 59.5% vs right-shot opponents — Seguin shoots right.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Crosby 57.8% vs Seguin 55.4% (+1.9%)
H2H factor
Not applied (5 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Crosby 70.3%
Defensive zone
Seguin 78.2%
Neutral zone
Seguin 66.3%
Result
Tyler Seguin favored at 56.4%
43.6%
56.4%
Crosby
Seguin
Head-to-Head Record
2
-
3
(5 meetings)
2
3
Crosby
Seguin
Last 5: Crosby 2-3 Seguin
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Crosby
2
0
Crosby
Seguin
2 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Seguin
0
2
Crosby
Seguin
2 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Seguin
0
1
Crosby
Seguin
1 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Crosby
Seguin
Edge
Even Strength
57.8% (1,437)
56.9% (478)
+0.9%
Power Play
60.9% (381)
57.4% (54)
+3.5%
Penalty Kill
50.0% (54)
51.3% (76)
-1.3%
On power play, Crosby has a +3.5% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Seguin shoots right. Crosby is 59.5% vs right-shot opponents (615).
Crosby shoots left. Seguin is 55.0% vs left-shot opponents (473).
Home / Away
Crosby
Seguin
Home
59.2% (985)
57.4% (317)
Away
57.2% (887)
55.0% (291)
By Period
Crosby
Seguin
P1
57.3%
50.3%
P2
59.5%
60.4%
P3
58.5%
58.0%
OT
40.0%
57.1%
Final 5 min
59.7%
57.5%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Crosby
64.0%▲
54.5%
58.2%
Seguin
42.0%▼
54.0%
56.3%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 22, 2024 | 3 | 17:45 | Offensive | Sidney Crosby |
| Mar 22, 2024 | 3 | 17:08 | Defensive | Tyler Seguin |
| Mar 22, 2024 | 1 | 14:02 | Neutral | Tyler Seguin |
| Oct 24, 2023 | 2 | 12:41 | Defensive | Tyler Seguin |
| Oct 24, 2023 | 1 | 11:03 | Offensive | Sidney Crosby |