Scouting Report
Tyler Seguin holds a +3.9% FO% edge overall. Look for Crosby on defensive-zone draws (86% H2H, 7 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Crosby 51.6% vs Seguin 55.0% (-3.9%)
H2H factor
Crosby leads 7-3 in 10 meetings
Offensive zone
Crosby 66.2%
Defensive zone
Seguin 55.7%
Neutral zone
Seguin 56.1%
Result
Tyler Seguin favored at 55.8%
44.2%
55.8%
Crosby
Seguin
Head-to-Head Record
7
-
3
(10 meetings)
7
3
Crosby
Seguin
Last 10: Crosby 7-3 Seguin
Zone Breakdown
Defensive Zone
Edge: Crosby
6
1
Crosby
Seguin
7 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Seguin
1
2
Crosby
Seguin
3 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Crosby
Seguin
Edge
Even Strength
51.9% (1,456)
55.9% (789)
-4.0%
Power Play
52.8% (392)
52.1% (48)
+0.7%
Penalty Kill
39.0% (59)
44.4% (9)
-5.4%
On penalty kill, Seguin has a +5.4% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Seguin shoots right. Crosby is 52.7% vs right-shot opponents (721).
Crosby shoots left. Seguin is 57.1% vs left-shot opponents (595).
Home / Away
Crosby
Seguin
Home
52.4% (976)
57.3% (382)
Away
51.0% (931)
54.1% (464)
By Period
Crosby
Seguin
P1
51.6%
55.1%
P2
53.1%
57.5%
P3
51.0%
53.7%
OT
40.5%
61.1%
Final 5 min
48.3%
56.5%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Crosby
64.0%▲
54.5%
51.7%
Seguin
42.0%▼
54.0%
55.6%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 22, 2015 | 3 | 00:00 | Neutral | Tyler Seguin |
| Oct 22, 2015 | 2 | 19:51 | Defensive | Sidney Crosby |
| Oct 22, 2015 | 2 | 11:20 | Neutral | Tyler Seguin |
| Oct 22, 2015 | 2 | 09:13 | Defensive | Sidney Crosby |
| Oct 22, 2015 | 1 | 00:00 | Neutral | Sidney Crosby |
| Oct 8, 2015 | 3 | 17:15 | Defensive | Tyler Seguin |
| Oct 8, 2015 | 3 | 01:29 | Defensive | Sidney Crosby |
| Oct 8, 2015 | 2 | 18:56 | Defensive | Sidney Crosby |
| Oct 8, 2015 | 2 | 14:45 | Defensive | Sidney Crosby |
| Oct 8, 2015 | 1 | 19:20 | Defensive | Sidney Crosby |