Scouting Report
Tyler Graovac holds a +2.9% FO% edge overall. Noesen wins 44.4% vs left-shot opponents — Graovac shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Noesen 44.6% vs Graovac 47.1% (-2.9%)
Offensive zone
Noesen 70.6%
Defensive zone
Graovac 61.7%
Neutral zone
Graovac 50.6%
Result
Stefan Noesen favored at 52.8%
52.8%
47.2%
Noesen
Graovac
No head-to-head faceoffs recorded
Situation Matchup
Situation
Noesen
Graovac
Edge
Even Strength
42.3% (407)
46.5% (497)
-4.2%
Power Play
46.5% (114)
50.0% (4)
-3.5%
On even strength, Graovac has a +4.2% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Graovac shoots left. Noesen is 44.4% vs left-shot opponents (387).
Noesen shoots right. Graovac is 46.2% vs right-shot opponents (158).
Home / Away
Noesen
Graovac
Home
43.8% (267)
47.6% (233)
Away
43.3% (268)
45.5% (268)
By Period
Noesen
Graovac
P1
38.2%
41.7%
P2
45.3%
47.4%
P3
46.6%
51.0%
Final 5 min
46.6%
42.3%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Noesen
46.0%▼
47.5%
43.6%
Graovac
48.0%▲
43.5%
46.5%