Scouting Report
Keith Aucoin holds a +13.4% FO% edge overall. Look for Aucoin on neutral-zone draws (83% H2H, 6 meetings). Aucoin wins 45.5% vs right-shot opponents — Gionta shoots right.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Aucoin 48.9% vs Gionta 38.2% (+13.4%)
H2H factor
Not applied (8 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Aucoin 89.2%
Defensive zone
Aucoin 82.7%
Neutral zone
Aucoin 87.9%
Result
Keith Aucoin favored at 88.2%
88.2%
11.8%
Aucoin
Gionta
Head-to-Head Record
7
-
1
(8 meetings)
7
1
Aucoin
Gionta
Last 8: Aucoin 7-1 Gionta
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Aucoin
2
0
Aucoin
Gionta
2 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Aucoin
5
1
Aucoin
Gionta
6 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Aucoin
Gionta
Edge
Even Strength
47.8% (320)
35.5% (335)
+12.3%
Power Play
59.1% (22)
66.7% (3)
-7.6%
Penalty Kill
50.0% (2)
30.8% (52)
+19.2%
On penalty kill, Aucoin has a +19.2% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Gionta shoots right. Aucoin is 45.5% vs right-shot opponents (132).
Aucoin shoots left. Gionta is 35.3% vs left-shot opponents (275).
Home / Away
Aucoin
Gionta
Home
52.6% (154)
34.9% (186)
Away
45.3% (190)
35.3% (204)
By Period
Aucoin
Gionta
P1
42.5%
32.5%
P2
52.9%
29.7%
P3
52.1%
42.5%
OT
0.0%
50.0%
Final 5 min
50.7%
33.3%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Aucoin
50.0%▲
44.5%
48.5%
Gionta
50.0%▲
48.0%
35.1%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Apr 1, 2013 | 1 | 19:22 | Neutral | Keith Aucoin |
| Feb 3, 2013 | 3 | 19:38 | Neutral | Keith Aucoin |
| Jan 31, 2013 | 3 | 12:38 | Neutral | Keith Aucoin |
| Jan 31, 2013 | 2 | 15:13 | Offensive | Keith Aucoin |
| Jan 19, 2013 | 2 | 12:35 | Offensive | Keith Aucoin |
| Jan 19, 2013 | 1 | 16:30 | Neutral | Stephen Gionta |
| Jan 19, 2013 | 1 | 14:15 | Neutral | Keith Aucoin |
| Jan 19, 2013 | 1 | 05:03 | Neutral | Keith Aucoin |