Scouting Report
Lars Eller holds a +14.2% FO% edge overall. Eller wins 45.4% vs right-shot opponents — Gionta shoots right.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Eller 49.4% vs Gionta 38.2% (+14.2%)
H2H factor
Not applied (5 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Eller 67.1%
Defensive zone
Eller 69.5%
Neutral zone
Eller 68.6%
Result
Lars Eller favored at 68.6%
68.6%
31.4%
Eller
Gionta
Head-to-Head Record
3
-
2
(5 meetings)
3
2
Eller
Gionta
Last 5: Eller 3-2 Gionta
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Gionta
0
1
Eller
Gionta
1 total
Defensive Zone
Even
1
1
Eller
Gionta
2 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Eller
2
0
Eller
Gionta
2 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Eller
Gionta
Edge
Even Strength
49.5% (457)
35.5% (335)
+14.0%
Power Play
57.7% (26)
66.7% (3)
-9.0%
Penalty Kill
44.1% (59)
30.8% (52)
+13.3%
On even strength, Eller has a +14.0% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Gionta shoots right. Eller is 45.4% vs right-shot opponents (207).
Eller shoots left. Gionta is 35.3% vs left-shot opponents (275).
Home / Away
Eller
Gionta
Home
51.0% (259)
34.9% (186)
Away
47.7% (283)
35.3% (204)
By Period
Eller
Gionta
P1
45.7%
32.5%
P2
44.3%
29.7%
P3
56.7%
42.5%
OT
50.0%
50.0%
Final 5 min
47.6%
33.3%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Eller
50.0%▼
54.0%
49.3%
Gionta
50.0%▲
48.0%
35.1%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Apr 23, 2013 | 1 | 17:36 | Neutral | Lars Eller |
| Apr 23, 2013 | 1 | 13:55 | Neutral | Lars Eller |
| Mar 16, 2013 | 3 | 13:28 | Defensive | Lars Eller |
| Mar 16, 2013 | 3 | 13:24 | Offensive | Stephen Gionta |
| Jan 27, 2013 | 1 | 19:51 | Defensive | Stephen Gionta |